Current forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project Houston's minimum temperature on August 23, 2026, near the seasonal average of 77–79°F, driven by typical late-summer southerly flow, high humidity, and limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Trader consensus on the extremes—71°F or below versus 90°F or higher—reflects model uncertainty around a potential tropical system threat noted in long-range outlooks, which could enhance cloud cover and moisture to suppress cooling or, conversely, allow brief drier air for greater nocturnal drops. Historical data shows August lows rarely fall below 72°F or exceed 80°F without major synoptic shifts, keeping mid-range outcomes like 76–79°F scientifically favored yet thinly traded amid the balanced tail probabilities. Updated short-range model runs and any tropical advisories remain key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Houston on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Houston on August 23?
71°F or below 89%
90°F or higher 89%
72-73°F 49%
86-87°F 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
89%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
48%
88-89°F
48%
90°F or higher
89%
71°F or below 89%
90°F or higher 89%
72-73°F 49%
86-87°F 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
$5 Vol.
89%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
49%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
25%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
25%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
27%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
25%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
25%
86-87°F
$20 Vol.
48%
88-89°F
$10 Vol.
48%
90°F or higher
$40 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project Houston's minimum temperature on August 23, 2026, near the seasonal average of 77–79°F, driven by typical late-summer southerly flow, high humidity, and limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Trader consensus on the extremes—71°F or below versus 90°F or higher—reflects model uncertainty around a potential tropical system threat noted in long-range outlooks, which could enhance cloud cover and moisture to suppress cooling or, conversely, allow brief drier air for greater nocturnal drops. Historical data shows August lows rarely fall below 72°F or exceed 80°F without major synoptic shifts, keeping mid-range outcomes like 76–79°F scientifically favored yet thinly traded amid the balanced tail probabilities. Updated short-range model runs and any tropical advisories remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$80End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project Houston's minimum temperature on August 23, 2026, near the seasonal average of 77–79°F, driven by typical late-summer southerly flow, high humidity, and limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Trader consensus on the extremes—71°F or below versus 90°F or higher—reflects model uncertainty around a potential tropical system threat noted in long-range outlooks, which could enhance cloud cover and moisture to suppress cooling or, conversely, allow brief drier air for greater nocturnal drops. Historical data shows August lows rarely fall below 72°F or exceed 80°F without major synoptic shifts, keeping mid-range outcomes like 76–79°F scientifically favored yet thinly traded amid the balanced tail probabilities. Updated short-range model runs and any tropical advisories remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$80End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project Houston's minimum temperature on August 23, 2026, near the seasonal average of 77–79°F, driven by typical late-summer southerly flow, high humidity, and limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Trader consensus on the extremes—71°F or below versus 90°F or higher—reflects model uncertainty around a potential tropical system threat noted in long-range outlooks, which could enhance cloud cover and moisture to suppress cooling or, conversely, allow brief drier air for greater nocturnal drops. Historical data shows August lows rarely fall below 72°F or exceed 80°F without major synoptic shifts, keeping mid-range outcomes like 76–79°F scientifically favored yet thinly traded amid the balanced tail probabilities. Updated short-range model runs and any tropical advisories remain key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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