Short-term forecast uncertainty in the Red Sea coastal region drives closely matched trader consensus across the listed temperature bins, with market-implied odds reflecting divergent global model runs for Jeddah’s September 1 nighttime minimum. Primary factors include variable sea surface temperatures influencing local humidity and marine layer development, along with steering patterns from subtropical high pressure that can either suppress or enhance nocturnal cooling through wind shifts and cloud cover. Official guidance from meteorological agencies notes typical early-September lows near 30°C amid ongoing summer warmth, yet small changes in timing of any trough or increased onshore flow could shift outcomes by several degrees. New model updates and observational data expected within 48 hours remain key variables for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Jeddah on September 1?
26°C or below 59%
36°C or higher 59%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
26°C or below
59%
27°C
47%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
49%
33°C
49%
34°C
2%
35°C
49%
36°C or higher
59%
26°C or below 59%
36°C or higher 59%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
59%
27°C
$0 Vol.
47%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
26%
31°C
$0 Vol.
26%
32°C
$0 Vol.
49%
33°C
$0 Vol.
49%
34°C
$0 Vol.
2%
35°C
$0 Vol.
49%
36°C or higher
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty in the Red Sea coastal region drives closely matched trader consensus across the listed temperature bins, with market-implied odds reflecting divergent global model runs for Jeddah’s September 1 nighttime minimum. Primary factors include variable sea surface temperatures influencing local humidity and marine layer development, along with steering patterns from subtropical high pressure that can either suppress or enhance nocturnal cooling through wind shifts and cloud cover. Official guidance from meteorological agencies notes typical early-September lows near 30°C amid ongoing summer warmth, yet small changes in timing of any trough or increased onshore flow could shift outcomes by several degrees. New model updates and observational data expected within 48 hours remain key variables for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty in the Red Sea coastal region drives closely matched trader consensus across the listed temperature bins, with market-implied odds reflecting divergent global model runs for Jeddah’s September 1 nighttime minimum. Primary factors include variable sea surface temperatures influencing local humidity and marine layer development, along with steering patterns from subtropical high pressure that can either suppress or enhance nocturnal cooling through wind shifts and cloud cover. Official guidance from meteorological agencies notes typical early-September lows near 30°C amid ongoing summer warmth, yet small changes in timing of any trough or increased onshore flow could shift outcomes by several degrees. New model updates and observational data expected within 48 hours remain key variables for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecast uncertainty in the Red Sea coastal region drives closely matched trader consensus across the listed temperature bins, with market-implied odds reflecting divergent global model runs for Jeddah’s September 1 nighttime minimum. Primary factors include variable sea surface temperatures influencing local humidity and marine layer development, along with steering patterns from subtropical high pressure that can either suppress or enhance nocturnal cooling through wind shifts and cloud cover. Official guidance from meteorological agencies notes typical early-September lows near 30°C amid ongoing summer warmth, yet small changes in timing of any trough or increased onshore flow could shift outcomes by several degrees. New model updates and observational data expected within 48 hours remain key variables for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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