Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate nighttime lows in Jeddah of 28–30°C on September 23, driven by typical late-summer Red Sea humidity, light winds, and clear skies that limit radiative cooling. High dew points near 26°C sustain elevated minimum temperatures despite daytime maxima around 36°C, aligning with climatological September averages of 27–29°C. Model consensus shows stable high-pressure conditions with no incoming fronts or significant precipitation to alter this pattern through the short-term forecast window. This data underpins the market's emphasis on 29–30°C outcomes as leading probabilities, while lower thresholds reflect residual uncertainty in precise overnight cooling rates. Updated model runs and official observations from agencies like the Saudi Meteorological Authority will provide the next key inputs ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Jeddah on September 23?
24°C or below 56%
30°C 39%
25°C 37%
29°C 24%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
24°C or below
56%
25°C
37%
26°C
18%
27°C
21%
28°C
22%
29°C
24%
30°C
39%
31°C
21%
32°C
9%
33°C
9%
34°C or higher
12%
24°C or below 56%
30°C 39%
25°C 37%
29°C 24%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
24°C or below
$100 Vol.
56%
25°C
$40 Vol.
37%
26°C
$25 Vol.
18%
27°C
$0 Vol.
21%
28°C
$0 Vol.
22%
29°C
$0 Vol.
24%
30°C
$21 Vol.
39%
31°C
$0 Vol.
21%
32°C
$0 Vol.
9%
33°C
$0 Vol.
9%
34°C or higher
$100 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate nighttime lows in Jeddah of 28–30°C on September 23, driven by typical late-summer Red Sea humidity, light winds, and clear skies that limit radiative cooling. High dew points near 26°C sustain elevated minimum temperatures despite daytime maxima around 36°C, aligning with climatological September averages of 27–29°C. Model consensus shows stable high-pressure conditions with no incoming fronts or significant precipitation to alter this pattern through the short-term forecast window. This data underpins the market's emphasis on 29–30°C outcomes as leading probabilities, while lower thresholds reflect residual uncertainty in precise overnight cooling rates. Updated model runs and official observations from agencies like the Saudi Meteorological Authority will provide the next key inputs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$286End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate nighttime lows in Jeddah of 28–30°C on September 23, driven by typical late-summer Red Sea humidity, light winds, and clear skies that limit radiative cooling. High dew points near 26°C sustain elevated minimum temperatures despite daytime maxima around 36°C, aligning with climatological September averages of 27–29°C. Model consensus shows stable high-pressure conditions with no incoming fronts or significant precipitation to alter this pattern through the short-term forecast window. This data underpins the market's emphasis on 29–30°C outcomes as leading probabilities, while lower thresholds reflect residual uncertainty in precise overnight cooling rates. Updated model runs and official observations from agencies like the Saudi Meteorological Authority will provide the next key inputs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$286End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate nighttime lows in Jeddah of 28–30°C on September 23, driven by typical late-summer Red Sea humidity, light winds, and clear skies that limit radiative cooling. High dew points near 26°C sustain elevated minimum temperatures despite daytime maxima around 36°C, aligning with climatological September averages of 27–29°C. Model consensus shows stable high-pressure conditions with no incoming fronts or significant precipitation to alter this pattern through the short-term forecast window. This data underpins the market's emphasis on 29–30°C outcomes as leading probabilities, while lower thresholds reflect residual uncertainty in precise overnight cooling rates. Updated model runs and official observations from agencies like the Saudi Meteorological Authority will provide the next key inputs ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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