Current forecasts from official and ensemble models indicate typical late-summer conditions along the Red Sea coast, with minimum temperatures expected near 28–30°C under northwest winds and moderate humidity. The near-even split between 25°C or below and 35°C or higher reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range model guidance on nocturnal cooling rates, driven by variable sea-surface temperatures, potential changes in the land-sea breeze circulation, and urban heat effects in Jeddah. Historical September minima average around 27–29°C, so outcomes below 26°C would require stronger-than-normal advection of cooler air, while readings at or above 35°C would demand unusually persistent heat retention overnight. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Jeddah on September 5?
25°C or below 100%
35°C or higher 95%
30°C 52%
26°C 47%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
25°C or below
100%
26°C
47%
27°C
47%
28°C
47%
29°C
26%
30°C
33%
31°C
26%
32°C
47%
33°C
47%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
95%
25°C or below 100%
35°C or higher 95%
30°C 52%
26°C 47%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
26°C
$0 Vol.
47%
27°C
$0 Vol.
47%
28°C
$0 Vol.
47%
29°C
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$18 Vol.
33%
31°C
$0 Vol.
26%
32°C
$0 Vol.
47%
33°C
$0 Vol.
47%
34°C
$0 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from official and ensemble models indicate typical late-summer conditions along the Red Sea coast, with minimum temperatures expected near 28–30°C under northwest winds and moderate humidity. The near-even split between 25°C or below and 35°C or higher reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range model guidance on nocturnal cooling rates, driven by variable sea-surface temperatures, potential changes in the land-sea breeze circulation, and urban heat effects in Jeddah. Historical September minima average around 27–29°C, so outcomes below 26°C would require stronger-than-normal advection of cooler air, while readings at or above 35°C would demand unusually persistent heat retention overnight. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$18End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from official and ensemble models indicate typical late-summer conditions along the Red Sea coast, with minimum temperatures expected near 28–30°C under northwest winds and moderate humidity. The near-even split between 25°C or below and 35°C or higher reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range model guidance on nocturnal cooling rates, driven by variable sea-surface temperatures, potential changes in the land-sea breeze circulation, and urban heat effects in Jeddah. Historical September minima average around 27–29°C, so outcomes below 26°C would require stronger-than-normal advection of cooler air, while readings at or above 35°C would demand unusually persistent heat retention overnight. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from official and ensemble models indicate typical late-summer conditions along the Red Sea coast, with minimum temperatures expected near 28–30°C under northwest winds and moderate humidity. The near-even split between 25°C or below and 35°C or higher reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range model guidance on nocturnal cooling rates, driven by variable sea-surface temperatures, potential changes in the land-sea breeze circulation, and urban heat effects in Jeddah. Historical September minima average around 27–29°C, so outcomes below 26°C would require stronger-than-normal advection of cooler air, while readings at or above 35°C would demand unusually persistent heat retention overnight. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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