**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Karachi on September 9 reflects substantial uncertainty around the nighttime minimum amid a broader seasonal signal for above-average warmth.** Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks highlight positive ENSO and Indian Ocean Dipole phases favoring warmer-than-normal conditions and rainfall deficits across southern Sindh through September, with typical coastal lows near 26–28 °C. Short-range models currently point to a September 9 minimum around 26–27 °C under partly cloudy, humid conditions that limit radiative cooling, yet variable wind patterns, possible light drizzle, or clearer skies could shift the outcome several degrees either way. This genuine forecast spread—coupled with the wisdom-of-crowds pricing—explains the near-even odds on both sub-22 °C and 31 °C+ extremes versus clustered mid-range probabilities. Updated PMD or global model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the implied range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on September 9?
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 69%
23°C 48%
24°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
21°C or below
69%
22°C
35%
23°C
48%
24°C
48%
25°C
48%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
48%
29°C
8%
30°C
39%
31°C or higher
69%
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 69%
23°C 48%
24°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
69%
22°C
$0 Vol.
35%
23°C
$0 Vol.
48%
24°C
$0 Vol.
48%
25°C
$0 Vol.
48%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
48%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C
$0 Vol.
39%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Karachi on September 9 reflects substantial uncertainty around the nighttime minimum amid a broader seasonal signal for above-average warmth.** Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks highlight positive ENSO and Indian Ocean Dipole phases favoring warmer-than-normal conditions and rainfall deficits across southern Sindh through September, with typical coastal lows near 26–28 °C. Short-range models currently point to a September 9 minimum around 26–27 °C under partly cloudy, humid conditions that limit radiative cooling, yet variable wind patterns, possible light drizzle, or clearer skies could shift the outcome several degrees either way. This genuine forecast spread—coupled with the wisdom-of-crowds pricing—explains the near-even odds on both sub-22 °C and 31 °C+ extremes versus clustered mid-range probabilities. Updated PMD or global model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the implied range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Karachi on September 9 reflects substantial uncertainty around the nighttime minimum amid a broader seasonal signal for above-average warmth.** Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks highlight positive ENSO and Indian Ocean Dipole phases favoring warmer-than-normal conditions and rainfall deficits across southern Sindh through September, with typical coastal lows near 26–28 °C. Short-range models currently point to a September 9 minimum around 26–27 °C under partly cloudy, humid conditions that limit radiative cooling, yet variable wind patterns, possible light drizzle, or clearer skies could shift the outcome several degrees either way. This genuine forecast spread—coupled with the wisdom-of-crowds pricing—explains the near-even odds on both sub-22 °C and 31 °C+ extremes versus clustered mid-range probabilities. Updated PMD or global model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the implied range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Karachi on September 9 reflects substantial uncertainty around the nighttime minimum amid a broader seasonal signal for above-average warmth.** Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks highlight positive ENSO and Indian Ocean Dipole phases favoring warmer-than-normal conditions and rainfall deficits across southern Sindh through September, with typical coastal lows near 26–28 °C. Short-range models currently point to a September 9 minimum around 26–27 °C under partly cloudy, humid conditions that limit radiative cooling, yet variable wind patterns, possible light drizzle, or clearer skies could shift the outcome several degrees either way. This genuine forecast spread—coupled with the wisdom-of-crowds pricing—explains the near-even odds on both sub-22 °C and 31 °C+ extremes versus clustered mid-range probabilities. Updated PMD or global model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the implied range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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