**Trader consensus centers on a 26°C low for Kuala Lumpur on September 21, 2026, with 85% implied probability, reflecting official forecasts of overnight minima near 25°C.** METMalaysia projects a minimum of 25°C amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity, while other models show 24–27°C (78–80°F) ranges consistent with September’s average low of 24.2°C and recent readings, including a 24.3°C low on September 20. Persistent cloud cover, light winds, and typical equatorial moisture limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above historical extremes. Lower-probability outcomes such as 24°C or below (around 43%) would require stronger-than-expected clear skies or unusual advection, scenarios not supported by current model consensus or real-time observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 21?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
$695 Vol.
$695 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
$695 Vol.
$695 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader consensus centers on a 26°C low for Kuala Lumpur on September 21, 2026, with 85% implied probability, reflecting official forecasts of overnight minima near 25°C.** METMalaysia projects a minimum of 25°C amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity, while other models show 24–27°C (78–80°F) ranges consistent with September’s average low of 24.2°C and recent readings, including a 24.3°C low on September 20. Persistent cloud cover, light winds, and typical equatorial moisture limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above historical extremes. Lower-probability outcomes such as 24°C or below (around 43%) would require stronger-than-expected clear skies or unusual advection, scenarios not supported by current model consensus or real-time observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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