Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate a Thursday night low in the upper 60s for downtown Los Angeles, supported by a persistent marine layer and light onshore flow that limits radiative cooling. This places the most likely outcome near 67–69 °F, above the 1991–2020 September 24 climatological average of roughly 62 °F. Key variables still in play include the depth and timing of the marine layer overnight and any late-day clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the next NWS forecast update and high-resolution model runs will provide the clearest signal on whether the low settles in the mid-to-upper 60s or edges lower under stronger onshore influence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 24?
68-69°F 56%
78°F or higher 50%
59°F or below 49%
76-77°F 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
59°F or below
49%
60-61°F
38%
62-63°F
20%
64-65°F
20%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
56%
70-71°F
21%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
39%
78°F or higher
50%
68-69°F 56%
78°F or higher 50%
59°F or below 49%
76-77°F 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
59°F or below
$10 Vol.
49%
60-61°F
$10 Vol.
38%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
20%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
20%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
20%
68-69°F
$54 Vol.
56%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
21%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
20%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
20%
76-77°F
$10 Vol.
39%
78°F or higher
$10 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate a Thursday night low in the upper 60s for downtown Los Angeles, supported by a persistent marine layer and light onshore flow that limits radiative cooling. This places the most likely outcome near 67–69 °F, above the 1991–2020 September 24 climatological average of roughly 62 °F. Key variables still in play include the depth and timing of the marine layer overnight and any late-day clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the next NWS forecast update and high-resolution model runs will provide the clearest signal on whether the low settles in the mid-to-upper 60s or edges lower under stronger onshore influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$40End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate a Thursday night low in the upper 60s for downtown Los Angeles, supported by a persistent marine layer and light onshore flow that limits radiative cooling. This places the most likely outcome near 67–69 °F, above the 1991–2020 September 24 climatological average of roughly 62 °F. Key variables still in play include the depth and timing of the marine layer overnight and any late-day clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the next NWS forecast update and high-resolution model runs will provide the clearest signal on whether the low settles in the mid-to-upper 60s or edges lower under stronger onshore influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate a Thursday night low in the upper 60s for downtown Los Angeles, supported by a persistent marine layer and light onshore flow that limits radiative cooling. This places the most likely outcome near 67–69 °F, above the 1991–2020 September 24 climatological average of roughly 62 °F. Key variables still in play include the depth and timing of the marine layer overnight and any late-day clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the next NWS forecast update and high-resolution model runs will provide the clearest signal on whether the low settles in the mid-to-upper 60s or edges lower under stronger onshore influence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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