**Forecast consensus from multiple models places Kuala Lumpur’s minimum temperature on September 5 near 24–25 °C, aligning with typical September nocturnal lows of 23–25 °C under the influence of the southwest monsoon.** High humidity (70–90 %), persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers limit radiational cooling overnight, while urban heat-island effects and light winds further moderate extremes. Recent runs show little deviation from climatological baselines, with no strong cold-air intrusion or clear-sky radiative cooling expected. Trader-implied odds remain split because small shifts in timing or intensity of convection—common in equatorial regimes—can alter the exact minimum by 1–2 °C, and resolution hinges on official station readings. Updated model guidance and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will be the key inputs for refining these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 5?
20°C or below 69%
30°C or higher 69%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
20°C or below
69%
21°C
19%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
69%
20°C or below 69%
30°C or higher 69%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
20°C or below
69%
21°C
19%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models places Kuala Lumpur’s minimum temperature on September 5 near 24–25 °C, aligning with typical September nocturnal lows of 23–25 °C under the influence of the southwest monsoon.** High humidity (70–90 %), persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers limit radiational cooling overnight, while urban heat-island effects and light winds further moderate extremes. Recent runs show little deviation from climatological baselines, with no strong cold-air intrusion or clear-sky radiative cooling expected. Trader-implied odds remain split because small shifts in timing or intensity of convection—common in equatorial regimes—can alter the exact minimum by 1–2 °C, and resolution hinges on official station readings. Updated model guidance and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will be the key inputs for refining these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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