Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity enhanced by recent typhoon passages has sustained extensive cloud cover and frequent rainfall over Manila, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 25–27°C. Current model consensus from PAGASA and international forecasts for September 1 points to overnight lows of 25–27°C amid continued showers and southwest winds, with limited potential for clearer skies that could allow dips toward 24°C or below. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range of outcomes, as minor shifts in rain timing, wind speed, or moisture could differentiate between the closely matched probabilities around 27°C and 28°C versus cooler thresholds. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these conditions ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Manila on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 1?
26°C 50%
25°C 49%
29°C 49%
28°C 29%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
22°C or below
13%
23°C
13%
24°C
18%
25°C
49%
26°C
50%
27°C
28%
28°C
29%
29°C
49%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 50%
25°C 49%
29°C 49%
28°C 29%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
13%
23°C
$0 Vol.
13%
24°C
$0 Vol.
18%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$0 Vol.
50%
27°C
$0 Vol.
28%
28°C
$0 Vol.
29%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity enhanced by recent typhoon passages has sustained extensive cloud cover and frequent rainfall over Manila, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 25–27°C. Current model consensus from PAGASA and international forecasts for September 1 points to overnight lows of 25–27°C amid continued showers and southwest winds, with limited potential for clearer skies that could allow dips toward 24°C or below. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range of outcomes, as minor shifts in rain timing, wind speed, or moisture could differentiate between the closely matched probabilities around 27°C and 28°C versus cooler thresholds. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these conditions ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity enhanced by recent typhoon passages has sustained extensive cloud cover and frequent rainfall over Manila, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 25–27°C. Current model consensus from PAGASA and international forecasts for September 1 points to overnight lows of 25–27°C amid continued showers and southwest winds, with limited potential for clearer skies that could allow dips toward 24°C or below. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range of outcomes, as minor shifts in rain timing, wind speed, or moisture could differentiate between the closely matched probabilities around 27°C and 28°C versus cooler thresholds. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these conditions ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity enhanced by recent typhoon passages has sustained extensive cloud cover and frequent rainfall over Manila, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 25–27°C. Current model consensus from PAGASA and international forecasts for September 1 points to overnight lows of 25–27°C amid continued showers and southwest winds, with limited potential for clearer skies that could allow dips toward 24°C or below. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range of outcomes, as minor shifts in rain timing, wind speed, or moisture could differentiate between the closely matched probabilities around 27°C and 28°C versus cooler thresholds. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these conditions ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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