Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and elevated humidity from an active monsoon pattern are moderating overnight radiative cooling in Mexico City, keeping forecast lows clustered near 12–14 °C for August 23. Multiple model runs and observational guidance converge on this range, with light northerly winds limiting cold-air advection while high dew points near 13 °C suppress further drops. Trader sentiment remains split because small differences in cloud timing or precipitation intensity can shift the recorded minimum across the closely priced 15 °C, 14 °C, and sub-12 °C thresholds, and official station data will resolve the market once the daily minimum is confirmed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 23?
9°C or below 70%
19°C or higher 42%
10°C 41%
15°C 38%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
9°C or below
70%
10°C
41%
11°C
23%
12°C
25%
13°C
28%
14°C
37%
15°C
38%
16°C
21%
17°C
8%
18°C
7%
19°C or higher
42%
9°C or below 70%
19°C or higher 42%
10°C 41%
15°C 38%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
9°C or below
$15 Vol.
70%
10°C
$15 Vol.
41%
11°C
$0 Vol.
23%
12°C
$0 Vol.
25%
13°C
$0 Vol.
28%
14°C
$0 Vol.
37%
15°C
$0 Vol.
38%
16°C
$0 Vol.
21%
17°C
$15 Vol.
8%
18°C
$15 Vol.
7%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and elevated humidity from an active monsoon pattern are moderating overnight radiative cooling in Mexico City, keeping forecast lows clustered near 12–14 °C for August 23. Multiple model runs and observational guidance converge on this range, with light northerly winds limiting cold-air advection while high dew points near 13 °C suppress further drops. Trader sentiment remains split because small differences in cloud timing or precipitation intensity can shift the recorded minimum across the closely priced 15 °C, 14 °C, and sub-12 °C thresholds, and official station data will resolve the market once the daily minimum is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$65End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and elevated humidity from an active monsoon pattern are moderating overnight radiative cooling in Mexico City, keeping forecast lows clustered near 12–14 °C for August 23. Multiple model runs and observational guidance converge on this range, with light northerly winds limiting cold-air advection while high dew points near 13 °C suppress further drops. Trader sentiment remains split because small differences in cloud timing or precipitation intensity can shift the recorded minimum across the closely priced 15 °C, 14 °C, and sub-12 °C thresholds, and official station data will resolve the market once the daily minimum is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$65End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and elevated humidity from an active monsoon pattern are moderating overnight radiative cooling in Mexico City, keeping forecast lows clustered near 12–14 °C for August 23. Multiple model runs and observational guidance converge on this range, with light northerly winds limiting cold-air advection while high dew points near 13 °C suppress further drops. Trader sentiment remains split because small differences in cloud timing or precipitation intensity can shift the recorded minimum across the closely priced 15 °C, 14 °C, and sub-12 °C thresholds, and official station data will resolve the market once the daily minimum is confirmed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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