Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami points to overnight lows in the upper 70s on June 12 amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with high dew points limiting radiative cooling and sea-breeze effects moderating temperatures. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms and persistent easterly flow are expected to keep skies partly cloudy into the night, preventing sharper drops below 77°F while maintaining the narrow range between 78–81°F that accounts for most market-implied probability. Historical June climatology shows average lows near 77–79°F, with year-to-year variability driven mainly by cloud cover and wind speed rather than large-scale pattern shifts; the tight clustering around these bins reflects trader assessment of limited deviation from this baseline absent an unexpected surge in moisture or clearing skies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on June 12?
Lowest temperature in Miami on June 12?
78-79°F 30%
76-77°F 22%
80-81°F 16%
82-83°F 15%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
15%
84°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 30%
76-77°F 22%
80-81°F 16%
82-83°F 15%
NEW
NEW
Jun 12, 2026
65°F or below
$353 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$56 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$132 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$611 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$137 Vol.
9%
74-75°F
$22 Vol.
12%
76-77°F
$32 Vol.
16%
78-79°F
$15 Vol.
30%
80-81°F
$21 Vol.
18%
82-83°F
$18 Vol.
15%
84°F or higher
$106 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami points to overnight lows in the upper 70s on June 12 amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with high dew points limiting radiative cooling and sea-breeze effects moderating temperatures. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms and persistent easterly flow are expected to keep skies partly cloudy into the night, preventing sharper drops below 77°F while maintaining the narrow range between 78–81°F that accounts for most market-implied probability. Historical June climatology shows average lows near 77–79°F, with year-to-year variability driven mainly by cloud cover and wind speed rather than large-scale pattern shifts; the tight clustering around these bins reflects trader assessment of limited deviation from this baseline absent an unexpected surge in moisture or clearing skies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 8:31 PM ET
Volume
$1,485End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 8:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami points to overnight lows in the upper 70s on June 12 amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with high dew points limiting radiative cooling and sea-breeze effects moderating temperatures. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms and persistent easterly flow are expected to keep skies partly cloudy into the night, preventing sharper drops below 77°F while maintaining the narrow range between 78–81°F that accounts for most market-implied probability. Historical June climatology shows average lows near 77–79°F, with year-to-year variability driven mainly by cloud cover and wind speed rather than large-scale pattern shifts; the tight clustering around these bins reflects trader assessment of limited deviation from this baseline absent an unexpected surge in moisture or clearing skies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,485End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 8:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami points to overnight lows in the upper 70s on June 12 amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with high dew points limiting radiative cooling and sea-breeze effects moderating temperatures. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms and persistent easterly flow are expected to keep skies partly cloudy into the night, preventing sharper drops below 77°F while maintaining the narrow range between 78–81°F that accounts for most market-implied probability. Historical June climatology shows average lows near 77–79°F, with year-to-year variability driven mainly by cloud cover and wind speed rather than large-scale pattern shifts; the tight clustering around these bins reflects trader assessment of limited deviation from this baseline absent an unexpected surge in moisture or clearing skies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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