Forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and global models point to a frontal passage with westerly winds and scattered rain suppressing radiative cooling overnight in Moscow on September 11, 2026, keeping the minimum temperature near 11–12 °C. Persistent cloud cover and advection of cooler maritime air have limited the typical nocturnal drop below the 8.8 °C climatological average low, while brief clearer intervals could allow readings to approach 8 °C. Model ensembles show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8 °C and 11 °C. Official station data from Vnukovo will resolve the exact minimum under standard 2-meter shelter measurements, with any late-day clearing or wind shift the key variable still in play.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 11?
13°C 51%
8°C 51%
7°C 49.1%
11°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
6°C or below
1%
7°C
49%
8°C
51%
9°C
47%
10°C
48%
11°C
49%
12°C
48%
13°C
51%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
13°C 51%
8°C 51%
7°C 49.1%
11°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
6°C or below
$110 Vol.
1%
7°C
$5 Vol.
49%
8°C
$12 Vol.
51%
9°C
$5 Vol.
47%
10°C
$0 Vol.
48%
11°C
$0 Vol.
49%
12°C
$0 Vol.
48%
13°C
$0 Vol.
51%
14°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$285 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and global models point to a frontal passage with westerly winds and scattered rain suppressing radiative cooling overnight in Moscow on September 11, 2026, keeping the minimum temperature near 11–12 °C. Persistent cloud cover and advection of cooler maritime air have limited the typical nocturnal drop below the 8.8 °C climatological average low, while brief clearer intervals could allow readings to approach 8 °C. Model ensembles show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8 °C and 11 °C. Official station data from Vnukovo will resolve the exact minimum under standard 2-meter shelter measurements, with any late-day clearing or wind shift the key variable still in play.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$462End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and global models point to a frontal passage with westerly winds and scattered rain suppressing radiative cooling overnight in Moscow on September 11, 2026, keeping the minimum temperature near 11–12 °C. Persistent cloud cover and advection of cooler maritime air have limited the typical nocturnal drop below the 8.8 °C climatological average low, while brief clearer intervals could allow readings to approach 8 °C. Model ensembles show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8 °C and 11 °C. Official station data from Vnukovo will resolve the exact minimum under standard 2-meter shelter measurements, with any late-day clearing or wind shift the key variable still in play.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$462End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and global models point to a frontal passage with westerly winds and scattered rain suppressing radiative cooling overnight in Moscow on September 11, 2026, keeping the minimum temperature near 11–12 °C. Persistent cloud cover and advection of cooler maritime air have limited the typical nocturnal drop below the 8.8 °C climatological average low, while brief clearer intervals could allow readings to approach 8 °C. Model ensembles show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 8 °C and 11 °C. Official station data from Vnukovo will resolve the exact minimum under standard 2-meter shelter measurements, with any late-day clearing or wind shift the key variable still in play.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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