**Forecasts for September 5, 2026, point to a mild overnight minimum in Paris, with most models showing a low around 17–18°C amid clearing skies, light northwest winds, and a stable air mass.** Current conditions feature high pressure and weak gradients, producing daytime highs near 26–27°C and allowing moderate radiational cooling overnight without strong cold advection. Dew points in the 10–14°C range and minimal cloud cover support this range, consistent with early-September climatology where average lows sit near 12–13°C but recent patterns have trended milder. The closely matched market probabilities (notably around 15–17°C) reflect genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum, driven by small differences in model guidance on overnight wind speeds, residual cloud, and urban heat-island effects that can limit cooling. A slightly stronger northwest flow or earlier clearing could push the low toward 15–16°C, while calmer conditions or a marginally warmer boundary layer favor 17°C or higher. No major weather systems are expected to alter the setup before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 5?
24°C or higher 59%
18°C 36%
19°C 30%
15°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
14°C or below
20%
15°C
26%
16°C
32%
17°C
22%
18°C
36%
19°C
30%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
59%
24°C or higher 59%
18°C 36%
19°C 30%
15°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
20%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$41 Vol.
32%
17°C
$21 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
36%
19°C
$0 Vol.
30%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
8%
22°C
$0 Vol.
8%
23°C
$0 Vol.
8%
24°C or higher
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts for September 5, 2026, point to a mild overnight minimum in Paris, with most models showing a low around 17–18°C amid clearing skies, light northwest winds, and a stable air mass.**
Current conditions feature high pressure and weak gradients, producing daytime highs near 26–27°C and allowing moderate radiational cooling overnight without strong cold advection. Dew points in the 10–14°C range and minimal cloud cover support this range, consistent with early-September climatology where average lows sit near 12–13°C but recent patterns have trended milder.
The closely matched market probabilities (notably around 15–17°C) reflect genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum, driven by small differences in model guidance on overnight wind speeds, residual cloud, and urban heat-island effects that can limit cooling. A slightly stronger northwest flow or earlier clearing could push the low toward 15–16°C, while calmer conditions or a marginally warmer boundary layer favor 17°C or higher. No major weather systems are expected to alter the setup before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$62End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts for September 5, 2026, point to a mild overnight minimum in Paris, with most models showing a low around 17–18°C amid clearing skies, light northwest winds, and a stable air mass.**
Current conditions feature high pressure and weak gradients, producing daytime highs near 26–27°C and allowing moderate radiational cooling overnight without strong cold advection. Dew points in the 10–14°C range and minimal cloud cover support this range, consistent with early-September climatology where average lows sit near 12–13°C but recent patterns have trended milder.
The closely matched market probabilities (notably around 15–17°C) reflect genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum, driven by small differences in model guidance on overnight wind speeds, residual cloud, and urban heat-island effects that can limit cooling. A slightly stronger northwest flow or earlier clearing could push the low toward 15–16°C, while calmer conditions or a marginally warmer boundary layer favor 17°C or higher. No major weather systems are expected to alter the setup before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$62End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts for September 5, 2026, point to a mild overnight minimum in Paris, with most models showing a low around 17–18°C amid clearing skies, light northwest winds, and a stable air mass.** Current conditions feature high pressure and weak gradients, producing daytime highs near 26–27°C and allowing moderate radiational cooling overnight without strong cold advection. Dew points in the 10–14°C range and minimal cloud cover support this range, consistent with early-September climatology where average lows sit near 12–13°C but recent patterns have trended milder. The closely matched market probabilities (notably around 15–17°C) reflect genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum, driven by small differences in model guidance on overnight wind speeds, residual cloud, and urban heat-island effects that can limit cooling. A slightly stronger northwest flow or earlier clearing could push the low toward 15–16°C, while calmer conditions or a marginally warmer boundary layer favor 17°C or higher. No major weather systems are expected to alter the setup before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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