Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Sao Paulo's overnight low on August 23 will likely settle near 12–13°C, reflecting typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions with radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because model runs show modest divergence from frontal systems or variable humidity, which could shift the minimum by 1–2°C either way. The elevated odds on 18°C or higher and sub-11°C outcomes capture tail risks from warmer advection or stronger cold outbreaks, though historical August climatology (average lows near 13°C) and recent stable high-pressure patterns favor the central range. Resolution hinges on official INMET observations, with final model updates expected overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 23?
18°C or higher 68%
8°C or below 56%
12°C 56%
13°C 31%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
56%
9°C
8%
10°C
9%
11°C
28%
12°C
34%
13°C
31%
14°C
28%
15°C
26%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C or higher
68%
18°C or higher 68%
8°C or below 56%
12°C 56%
13°C 31%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
$15 Vol.
56%
9°C
$0 Vol.
8%
10°C
$0 Vol.
9%
11°C
$0 Vol.
28%
12°C
$16 Vol.
34%
13°C
$0 Vol.
31%
14°C
$0 Vol.
28%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
3%
17°C
$5 Vol.
6%
18°C or higher
$40 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Sao Paulo's overnight low on August 23 will likely settle near 12–13°C, reflecting typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions with radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because model runs show modest divergence from frontal systems or variable humidity, which could shift the minimum by 1–2°C either way. The elevated odds on 18°C or higher and sub-11°C outcomes capture tail risks from warmer advection or stronger cold outbreaks, though historical August climatology (average lows near 13°C) and recent stable high-pressure patterns favor the central range. Resolution hinges on official INMET observations, with final model updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$77End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Sao Paulo's overnight low on August 23 will likely settle near 12–13°C, reflecting typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions with radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because model runs show modest divergence from frontal systems or variable humidity, which could shift the minimum by 1–2°C either way. The elevated odds on 18°C or higher and sub-11°C outcomes capture tail risks from warmer advection or stronger cold outbreaks, though historical August climatology (average lows near 13°C) and recent stable high-pressure patterns favor the central range. Resolution hinges on official INMET observations, with final model updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$77End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Sao Paulo's overnight low on August 23 will likely settle near 12–13°C, reflecting typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions with radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because model runs show modest divergence from frontal systems or variable humidity, which could shift the minimum by 1–2°C either way. The elevated odds on 18°C or higher and sub-11°C outcomes capture tail risks from warmer advection or stronger cold outbreaks, though historical August climatology (average lows near 13°C) and recent stable high-pressure patterns favor the central range. Resolution hinges on official INMET observations, with final model updates expected overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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