Recent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and supporting ensemble models forecast a minimum of 24°C for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 13, with overnight conditions featuring clear to mostly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and low precipitation risk that permits moderate radiative cooling. Typical late-summer humidity and urban heat-island effects limit further drops, aligning with climatological August overnight lows near 22–23°C. The market’s concentration on 23–24°C outcomes reflects tight model agreement and the resolution criteria tied to official Incheon station readings, while lower-probability tails account for minor forecast revisions possible from boundary-layer variations or timing of any cloud cover. Updated short-range guidance and early-morning observations will further refine trader positioning ahead of market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 13?
23°C 48%
24°C 31%
22°C 14%
25°C 12%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
14%
23°C
48%
24°C
31%
25°C
8%
26°C
5%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 48%
24°C 31%
22°C 14%
25°C 12%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
14%
23°C
48%
24°C
31%
25°C
8%
26°C
5%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and supporting ensemble models forecast a minimum of 24°C for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 13, with overnight conditions featuring clear to mostly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and low precipitation risk that permits moderate radiative cooling. Typical late-summer humidity and urban heat-island effects limit further drops, aligning with climatological August overnight lows near 22–23°C. The market’s concentration on 23–24°C outcomes reflects tight model agreement and the resolution criteria tied to official Incheon station readings, while lower-probability tails account for minor forecast revisions possible from boundary-layer variations or timing of any cloud cover. Updated short-range guidance and early-morning observations will further refine trader positioning ahead of market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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