Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon on August 13 project a minimum temperature of 24°C under clear morning skies transitioning to mostly cloudy conditions, aligning with the market's leading 23–24°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 80%. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea, combined with typical summer humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, supports these values over cooler or warmer extremes. Recent heatwave warnings earlier in the month have eased, with models showing stable high-pressure influence and minimal precipitation expected to alter overnight lows. Updated short-range guidance and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns ahead of resolution will likely refine trader consensus around these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 13?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 13?
23°C 40%
24°C 32%
25°C 12%
22°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
9%
23°C
48%
24°C
32%
25°C
8%
26°C
5%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 40%
24°C 32%
25°C 12%
22°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
18°C or below
$305 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$242 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$231 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$306 Vol.
1%
22°C
$582 Vol.
9%
23°C
$1,320 Vol.
48%
24°C
$2,062 Vol.
32%
25°C
$388 Vol.
8%
26°C
$365 Vol.
5%
27°C
$483 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$286 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon on August 13 project a minimum temperature of 24°C under clear morning skies transitioning to mostly cloudy conditions, aligning with the market's leading 23–24°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 80%. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea, combined with typical summer humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, supports these values over cooler or warmer extremes. Recent heatwave warnings earlier in the month have eased, with models showing stable high-pressure influence and minimal precipitation expected to alter overnight lows. Updated short-range guidance and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns ahead of resolution will likely refine trader consensus around these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$6,570End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon on August 13 project a minimum temperature of 24°C under clear morning skies transitioning to mostly cloudy conditions, aligning with the market's leading 23–24°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 80%. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea, combined with typical summer humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, supports these values over cooler or warmer extremes. Recent heatwave warnings earlier in the month have eased, with models showing stable high-pressure influence and minimal precipitation expected to alter overnight lows. Updated short-range guidance and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns ahead of resolution will likely refine trader consensus around these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,570End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon on August 13 project a minimum temperature of 24°C under clear morning skies transitioning to mostly cloudy conditions, aligning with the market's leading 23–24°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 80%. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea, combined with typical summer humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, supports these values over cooler or warmer extremes. Recent heatwave warnings earlier in the month have eased, with models showing stable high-pressure influence and minimal precipitation expected to alter overnight lows. Updated short-range guidance and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns ahead of resolution will likely refine trader consensus around these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions