Singapore's overnight minimum temperatures in late August remain elevated under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, with southeasterly to southwesterly winds limiting radiative cooling amid high humidity and scattered thundery showers. Official fortnightly guidance from the Meteorological Service Singapore indicates most nights staying above 27°C through the period, consistent with recent observations where daily minima have rarely dipped below that threshold. Short-duration afternoon convection often sustains cloud cover and moisture overnight, narrowing the range of possible lows for August 27. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 27–28°C because forecast models show only modest variability in steering patterns and shower timing, while lower or higher extremes would require atypical clear-sky radiational cooling or stronger advection not currently indicated. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Singapore on August 27?
29°C 49%
30°C 49%
33°C or higher 37%
28°C 34%
23°C or below
10%
24°C
5%
25°C
10%
26°C
10%
27°C
32%
28°C
34%
29°C
49%
30°C
49%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
37%
29°C 49%
30°C 49%
33°C or higher 37%
28°C 34%
23°C or below
10%
24°C
5%
25°C
10%
26°C
10%
27°C
32%
28°C
34%
29°C
49%
30°C
49%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
37%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore's overnight minimum temperatures in late August remain elevated under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, with southeasterly to southwesterly winds limiting radiative cooling amid high humidity and scattered thundery showers. Official fortnightly guidance from the Meteorological Service Singapore indicates most nights staying above 27°C through the period, consistent with recent observations where daily minima have rarely dipped below that threshold. Short-duration afternoon convection often sustains cloud cover and moisture overnight, narrowing the range of possible lows for August 27. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 27–28°C because forecast models show only modest variability in steering patterns and shower timing, while lower or higher extremes would require atypical clear-sky radiational cooling or stronger advection not currently indicated. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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