Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models indicate persistent high pressure and clear skies over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting overnight lows near 24–26°C in Tel Aviv on August 27. Coastal sea breezes from the Mediterranean moderate minimum temperatures through enhanced mixing and evaporative cooling, while low humidity and light southerly winds limit radiative heat loss compared to inland areas. Recent August heat has kept baseline readings 1–2°C above long-term averages, with minimal model spread in guidance for the next 48 hours. Traders weigh these stable conditions against small uncertainties in cloud cover or wind shifts that could nudge the low a degree lower or sustain it near 26°C. Updated model runs and official briefings through August 26 will provide the next resolution signals for this tightly contested market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 27?
21°C 47%
27°C 46%
22°C 40%
24°C 26%
20°C or below
6%
21°C
47%
22°C
40%
23°C
25%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
46%
28°C
22%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
23%
21°C 47%
27°C 46%
22°C 40%
24°C 26%
20°C or below
6%
21°C
47%
22°C
40%
23°C
25%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
46%
28°C
22%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models indicate persistent high pressure and clear skies over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting overnight lows near 24–26°C in Tel Aviv on August 27. Coastal sea breezes from the Mediterranean moderate minimum temperatures through enhanced mixing and evaporative cooling, while low humidity and light southerly winds limit radiative heat loss compared to inland areas. Recent August heat has kept baseline readings 1–2°C above long-term averages, with minimal model spread in guidance for the next 48 hours. Traders weigh these stable conditions against small uncertainties in cloud cover or wind shifts that could nudge the low a degree lower or sustain it near 26°C. Updated model runs and official briefings through August 26 will provide the next resolution signals for this tightly contested market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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