Current forecast models from sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service and international ensembles project Tel Aviv's overnight minimum on August 25 near 23–25°C under clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and stable high pressure typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Coastal moderation from the Mediterranean Sea and high dew points limit radiative cooling, keeping lows well above the long-term August average of ~24°C. Trader consensus, with 28°C+ at 43% implied probability alongside notable support for 22–25°C outcomes, reflects model spread in exact timing of the daily minimum and recent warm nights (lows near 24–26°C on August 23–24). No significant synoptic changes or frontal passages are expected before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 25?
28°C or higher 86%
23°C 27%
24°C 27%
22°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
22%
21°C
24%
22°C
25%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
23%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
86%
28°C or higher 86%
23°C 27%
24°C 27%
22°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
18°C or below
$200 Vol.
1%
19°C
$119 Vol.
5%
20°C
$105 Vol.
22%
21°C
$6 Vol.
24%
22°C
$0 Vol.
25%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
23%
26°C
$25 Vol.
4%
27°C
$20 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$140 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service and international ensembles project Tel Aviv's overnight minimum on August 25 near 23–25°C under clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and stable high pressure typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Coastal moderation from the Mediterranean Sea and high dew points limit radiative cooling, keeping lows well above the long-term August average of ~24°C. Trader consensus, with 28°C+ at 43% implied probability alongside notable support for 22–25°C outcomes, reflects model spread in exact timing of the daily minimum and recent warm nights (lows near 24–26°C on August 23–24). No significant synoptic changes or frontal passages are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$585End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service and international ensembles project Tel Aviv's overnight minimum on August 25 near 23–25°C under clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and stable high pressure typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Coastal moderation from the Mediterranean Sea and high dew points limit radiative cooling, keeping lows well above the long-term August average of ~24°C. Trader consensus, with 28°C+ at 43% implied probability alongside notable support for 22–25°C outcomes, reflects model spread in exact timing of the daily minimum and recent warm nights (lows near 24–26°C on August 23–24). No significant synoptic changes or frontal passages are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$585End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service and international ensembles project Tel Aviv's overnight minimum on August 25 near 23–25°C under clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and stable high pressure typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Coastal moderation from the Mediterranean Sea and high dew points limit radiative cooling, keeping lows well above the long-term August average of ~24°C. Trader consensus, with 28°C+ at 43% implied probability alongside notable support for 22–25°C outcomes, reflects model spread in exact timing of the daily minimum and recent warm nights (lows near 24–26°C on August 23–24). No significant synoptic changes or frontal passages are expected before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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