Recent northerly winds advecting warmer Tasman Sea air have elevated Wellington's overnight minima above seasonal norms in the past week, with official forecasts from MetService and international models converging on 11–12°C for the August 25 low under partly cloudy, breezy conditions. Persistent northwesterlies limit radiational cooling while cloud cover modulates the diurnal range, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around these values; historical August minima average near 9–11°C, so the current setup favors the market's leading outcomes while allowing modest upside or downside depending on exact timing of any wind shift or clearer skies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wellington on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 25?
12°C 32%
11°C 29%
13°C 28%
10°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
8°C or below
17%
9°C
22%
10°C
25%
11°C
29%
12°C
32%
13°C
28%
14°C
9%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
16%
12°C 32%
11°C 29%
13°C 28%
10°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
8°C or below
$5 Vol.
17%
9°C
$15 Vol.
22%
10°C
$0 Vol.
25%
11°C
$0 Vol.
29%
12°C
$0 Vol.
32%
13°C
$0 Vol.
28%
14°C
$21 Vol.
9%
15°C
$5 Vol.
1%
16°C
$5 Vol.
3%
17°C
$493 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$5 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly winds advecting warmer Tasman Sea air have elevated Wellington's overnight minima above seasonal norms in the past week, with official forecasts from MetService and international models converging on 11–12°C for the August 25 low under partly cloudy, breezy conditions. Persistent northwesterlies limit radiational cooling while cloud cover modulates the diurnal range, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around these values; historical August minima average near 9–11°C, so the current setup favors the market's leading outcomes while allowing modest upside or downside depending on exact timing of any wind shift or clearer skies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$549End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly winds advecting warmer Tasman Sea air have elevated Wellington's overnight minima above seasonal norms in the past week, with official forecasts from MetService and international models converging on 11–12°C for the August 25 low under partly cloudy, breezy conditions. Persistent northwesterlies limit radiational cooling while cloud cover modulates the diurnal range, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around these values; historical August minima average near 9–11°C, so the current setup favors the market's leading outcomes while allowing modest upside or downside depending on exact timing of any wind shift or clearer skies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$549End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly winds advecting warmer Tasman Sea air have elevated Wellington's overnight minima above seasonal norms in the past week, with official forecasts from MetService and international models converging on 11–12°C for the August 25 low under partly cloudy, breezy conditions. Persistent northwesterlies limit radiational cooling while cloud cover modulates the diurnal range, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around these values; historical August minima average near 9–11°C, so the current setup favors the market's leading outcomes while allowing modest upside or downside depending on exact timing of any wind shift or clearer skies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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