**Current forecasts for Wellington indicate mostly clear skies overnight into August 24 under moderating northwest winds following a frontal passage, supporting radiative cooling but moderated by mixing.** Model consensus points to a minimum near 8–10°C, consistent with climatological August overnight lows of roughly 7–9°C at the airport site. Key differentiating factors include the strength of nocturnal radiative losses under limited cloud cover, dew-point depression in the post-frontal air mass, and wind speeds that could suppress or enhance boundary-layer mixing. Recent model runs show minor divergence on exact wind backing and residual moisture, keeping probabilities closely balanced between sub-8°C and 8–10°C outcomes while rendering extremes below 5°C or above 12°C unlikely absent a sharp southerly surge. Updated guidance from MetService and global ensembles will refine the overnight trajectory ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wellington on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 24?
5°C or below 89%
15°C or higher 87%
11°C 50%
12°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
5°C or below
89%
6°C
26%
7°C
26%
8°C
28%
9°C
28%
10°C
26%
11°C
50%
12°C
50%
13°C
8%
14°C
2%
15°C or higher
87%
5°C or below 89%
15°C or higher 87%
11°C 50%
12°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
5°C or below
$5 Vol.
89%
6°C
$0 Vol.
26%
7°C
$0 Vol.
26%
8°C
$0 Vol.
28%
9°C
$0 Vol.
28%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$5 Vol.
50%
12°C
$5 Vol.
50%
13°C
$5 Vol.
8%
14°C
$5 Vol.
2%
15°C or higher
$5 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Wellington indicate mostly clear skies overnight into August 24 under moderating northwest winds following a frontal passage, supporting radiative cooling but moderated by mixing.** Model consensus points to a minimum near 8–10°C, consistent with climatological August overnight lows of roughly 7–9°C at the airport site. Key differentiating factors include the strength of nocturnal radiative losses under limited cloud cover, dew-point depression in the post-frontal air mass, and wind speeds that could suppress or enhance boundary-layer mixing. Recent model runs show minor divergence on exact wind backing and residual moisture, keeping probabilities closely balanced between sub-8°C and 8–10°C outcomes while rendering extremes below 5°C or above 12°C unlikely absent a sharp southerly surge. Updated guidance from MetService and global ensembles will refine the overnight trajectory ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$30End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Wellington indicate mostly clear skies overnight into August 24 under moderating northwest winds following a frontal passage, supporting radiative cooling but moderated by mixing.** Model consensus points to a minimum near 8–10°C, consistent with climatological August overnight lows of roughly 7–9°C at the airport site. Key differentiating factors include the strength of nocturnal radiative losses under limited cloud cover, dew-point depression in the post-frontal air mass, and wind speeds that could suppress or enhance boundary-layer mixing. Recent model runs show minor divergence on exact wind backing and residual moisture, keeping probabilities closely balanced between sub-8°C and 8–10°C outcomes while rendering extremes below 5°C or above 12°C unlikely absent a sharp southerly surge. Updated guidance from MetService and global ensembles will refine the overnight trajectory ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Wellington indicate mostly clear skies overnight into August 24 under moderating northwest winds following a frontal passage, supporting radiative cooling but moderated by mixing.** Model consensus points to a minimum near 8–10°C, consistent with climatological August overnight lows of roughly 7–9°C at the airport site. Key differentiating factors include the strength of nocturnal radiative losses under limited cloud cover, dew-point depression in the post-frontal air mass, and wind speeds that could suppress or enhance boundary-layer mixing. Recent model runs show minor divergence on exact wind backing and residual moisture, keeping probabilities closely balanced between sub-8°C and 8–10°C outcomes while rendering extremes below 5°C or above 12°C unlikely absent a sharp southerly surge. Updated guidance from MetService and global ensembles will refine the overnight trajectory ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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