Strong northwesterly winds and a developing front are the dominant factors shaping overnight minimum temperatures in Wellington on August 22, with official guidance from MetService and model consensus placing the low between 10–12°C. Persistent gale-force gusts promote mixing that limits radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and isolated showers could either trap heat or allow brief clearer periods for greater drops. Historical climatology shows typical August overnight lows near 8–9°C, but current conditions favor milder readings. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 11°C and 10°C, reflecting model spread on exact wind timing and precipitation impacts, with fresh forecast updates from NOAA and local agencies likely to refine resolution thresholds before market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wellington on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 22?
10°C 31%
12°C 28%
8°C 28%
9°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
7°C or below
17%
8°C
28%
9°C
28%
10°C
31%
11°C
39%
12°C
28%
13°C
28%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
10°C 31%
12°C 28%
8°C 28%
9°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
7°C or below
$132 Vol.
17%
8°C
$0 Vol.
28%
9°C
$0 Vol.
28%
10°C
$1 Vol.
31%
11°C
$46 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
28%
13°C
$0 Vol.
28%
14°C
$199 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$71 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$73 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong northwesterly winds and a developing front are the dominant factors shaping overnight minimum temperatures in Wellington on August 22, with official guidance from MetService and model consensus placing the low between 10–12°C. Persistent gale-force gusts promote mixing that limits radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and isolated showers could either trap heat or allow brief clearer periods for greater drops. Historical climatology shows typical August overnight lows near 8–9°C, but current conditions favor milder readings. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 11°C and 10°C, reflecting model spread on exact wind timing and precipitation impacts, with fresh forecast updates from NOAA and local agencies likely to refine resolution thresholds before market close.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$542End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong northwesterly winds and a developing front are the dominant factors shaping overnight minimum temperatures in Wellington on August 22, with official guidance from MetService and model consensus placing the low between 10–12°C. Persistent gale-force gusts promote mixing that limits radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and isolated showers could either trap heat or allow brief clearer periods for greater drops. Historical climatology shows typical August overnight lows near 8–9°C, but current conditions favor milder readings. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 11°C and 10°C, reflecting model spread on exact wind timing and precipitation impacts, with fresh forecast updates from NOAA and local agencies likely to refine resolution thresholds before market close.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$542End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong northwesterly winds and a developing front are the dominant factors shaping overnight minimum temperatures in Wellington on August 22, with official guidance from MetService and model consensus placing the low between 10–12°C. Persistent gale-force gusts promote mixing that limits radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and isolated showers could either trap heat or allow brief clearer periods for greater drops. Historical climatology shows typical August overnight lows near 8–9°C, but current conditions favor milder readings. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 11°C and 10°C, reflecting model spread on exact wind timing and precipitation impacts, with fresh forecast updates from NOAA and local agencies likely to refine resolution thresholds before market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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