Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows of 64–67°F for New York City on August 25, 2026, aligning with the near-even market split between the 64–65°F and 66–67°F bins. Clear to partly cloudy skies under northwest flow following a weak frontal passage, combined with dew points in the upper 50s to low 60s, support efficient radiational cooling that favors the lower end of the range. Historical climatology shows an average minimum near 67°F, so current cooler-than-normal conditions reflect the recent pattern of mid-60s readings. Small differences in forecast guidance on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering around 64–67°F, with limited upside risk from stronger warming or downside potential from clearer, calmer conditions. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on August 25?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 25?
64-65°F 36%
66-67°F 33%
68-69°F 21%
62-63°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
53°F or below
1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
36%
66-67°F
33%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
4%
72°F or higher
2%
64-65°F 36%
66-67°F 33%
68-69°F 21%
62-63°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
53°F or below
$5 Vol.
1%
54-55°F
$110 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$10 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$113 Vol.
2%
60-61°F
$651 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$134 Vol.
9%
64-65°F
$121 Vol.
36%
66-67°F
$130 Vol.
33%
68-69°F
$193 Vol.
21%
70-71°F
$300 Vol.
4%
72°F or higher
$70 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows of 64–67°F for New York City on August 25, 2026, aligning with the near-even market split between the 64–65°F and 66–67°F bins. Clear to partly cloudy skies under northwest flow following a weak frontal passage, combined with dew points in the upper 50s to low 60s, support efficient radiational cooling that favors the lower end of the range. Historical climatology shows an average minimum near 67°F, so current cooler-than-normal conditions reflect the recent pattern of mid-60s readings. Small differences in forecast guidance on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering around 64–67°F, with limited upside risk from stronger warming or downside potential from clearer, calmer conditions. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,734End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows of 64–67°F for New York City on August 25, 2026, aligning with the near-even market split between the 64–65°F and 66–67°F bins. Clear to partly cloudy skies under northwest flow following a weak frontal passage, combined with dew points in the upper 50s to low 60s, support efficient radiational cooling that favors the lower end of the range. Historical climatology shows an average minimum near 67°F, so current cooler-than-normal conditions reflect the recent pattern of mid-60s readings. Small differences in forecast guidance on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering around 64–67°F, with limited upside risk from stronger warming or downside potential from clearer, calmer conditions. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,734End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows of 64–67°F for New York City on August 25, 2026, aligning with the near-even market split between the 64–65°F and 66–67°F bins. Clear to partly cloudy skies under northwest flow following a weak frontal passage, combined with dew points in the upper 50s to low 60s, support efficient radiational cooling that favors the lower end of the range. Historical climatology shows an average minimum near 67°F, so current cooler-than-normal conditions reflect the recent pattern of mid-60s readings. Small differences in forecast guidance on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering around 64–67°F, with limited upside risk from stronger warming or downside potential from clearer, calmer conditions. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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