Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate Mexico City highs near 21–23°C on August 25 amid the ongoing rainy season, with afternoon convective showers and persistent cloud cover expected to cap peak temperatures by limiting solar heating. At the city’s high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, baseline August averages hover around 23°C, but moisture from tropical waves enhances instability and storm development, often suppressing maxima by several degrees compared to drier periods. Trader sentiment clusters around 22–24°C because historical analogs show similar late-August conditions rarely exceed 24°C or fall below 21°C without major shifts in steering patterns or moisture. Updated model runs and official guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 25?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 25?
23°C 36%
22°C 24%
24°C 15%
21°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
12%
22°C
24%
23°C
36%
24°C
15%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
2%
23°C 36%
22°C 24%
24°C 15%
21°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
16°C or below
$596 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$20 Vol.
2%
20°C
$53 Vol.
5%
21°C
$18 Vol.
12%
22°C
$416 Vol.
24%
23°C
$172 Vol.
36%
24°C
$143 Vol.
15%
25°C
$138 Vol.
4%
26°C or higher
$60 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate Mexico City highs near 21–23°C on August 25 amid the ongoing rainy season, with afternoon convective showers and persistent cloud cover expected to cap peak temperatures by limiting solar heating. At the city’s high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, baseline August averages hover around 23°C, but moisture from tropical waves enhances instability and storm development, often suppressing maxima by several degrees compared to drier periods. Trader sentiment clusters around 22–24°C because historical analogs show similar late-August conditions rarely exceed 24°C or fall below 21°C without major shifts in steering patterns or moisture. Updated model runs and official guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$1,776End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate Mexico City highs near 21–23°C on August 25 amid the ongoing rainy season, with afternoon convective showers and persistent cloud cover expected to cap peak temperatures by limiting solar heating. At the city’s high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, baseline August averages hover around 23°C, but moisture from tropical waves enhances instability and storm development, often suppressing maxima by several degrees compared to drier periods. Trader sentiment clusters around 22–24°C because historical analogs show similar late-August conditions rarely exceed 24°C or fall below 21°C without major shifts in steering patterns or moisture. Updated model runs and official guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,776End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate Mexico City highs near 21–23°C on August 25 amid the ongoing rainy season, with afternoon convective showers and persistent cloud cover expected to cap peak temperatures by limiting solar heating. At the city’s high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, baseline August averages hover around 23°C, but moisture from tropical waves enhances instability and storm development, often suppressing maxima by several degrees compared to drier periods. Trader sentiment clusters around 22–24°C because historical analogs show similar late-August conditions rarely exceed 24°C or fall below 21°C without major shifts in steering patterns or moisture. Updated model runs and official guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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