Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature near 24–26°C for Tel Aviv on September 1, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with clear skies, light northwest winds, and moderating sea surface temperatures around 29°C. Model consensus shows overnight lows settling in the mid-20s Celsius under stable high pressure, consistent with climatological averages for early September. This underpins the 48% market-implied probability for exactly 24°C as the leading outcome. Elevated odds for 19°C or below (26.5%) reflect potential for slightly stronger radiative cooling if winds calm further, while the combined 27.5% chance for 29°C or higher captures upside risk from any delayed cooling or measurement variance. No major atmospheric shifts have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 1?
19°C or below 53%
29°C or higher 53%
25°C 50%
21°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
19°C or below
53%
20°C
34%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
25%
24°C
48%
25°C
50%
26°C
49%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
53%
19°C or below 53%
29°C or higher 53%
25°C 50%
21°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
53%
20°C
$0 Vol.
34%
21°C
$0 Vol.
49%
22°C
$0 Vol.
49%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
48%
25°C
$6 Vol.
50%
26°C
$0 Vol.
49%
27°C
$0 Vol.
8%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature near 24–26°C for Tel Aviv on September 1, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with clear skies, light northwest winds, and moderating sea surface temperatures around 29°C. Model consensus shows overnight lows settling in the mid-20s Celsius under stable high pressure, consistent with climatological averages for early September. This underpins the 48% market-implied probability for exactly 24°C as the leading outcome. Elevated odds for 19°C or below (26.5%) reflect potential for slightly stronger radiative cooling if winds calm further, while the combined 27.5% chance for 29°C or higher captures upside risk from any delayed cooling or measurement variance. No major atmospheric shifts have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$6End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature near 24–26°C for Tel Aviv on September 1, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with clear skies, light northwest winds, and moderating sea surface temperatures around 29°C. Model consensus shows overnight lows settling in the mid-20s Celsius under stable high pressure, consistent with climatological averages for early September. This underpins the 48% market-implied probability for exactly 24°C as the leading outcome. Elevated odds for 19°C or below (26.5%) reflect potential for slightly stronger radiative cooling if winds calm further, while the combined 27.5% chance for 29°C or higher captures upside risk from any delayed cooling or measurement variance. No major atmospheric shifts have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature near 24–26°C for Tel Aviv on September 1, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with clear skies, light northwest winds, and moderating sea surface temperatures around 29°C. Model consensus shows overnight lows settling in the mid-20s Celsius under stable high pressure, consistent with climatological averages for early September. This underpins the 48% market-implied probability for exactly 24°C as the leading outcome. Elevated odds for 19°C or below (26.5%) reflect potential for slightly stronger radiative cooling if winds calm further, while the combined 27.5% chance for 29°C or higher captures upside risk from any delayed cooling or measurement variance. No major atmospheric shifts have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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