Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate mostly cloudy conditions over Tokyo through June 13, supporting overnight lows centered near the early-June climatological normal of 18–19 °C with limited radiative cooling due to elevated humidity and light winds. This consensus, reinforced by stable atmospheric patterns in the Kanto region and no significant frontal passages or anomalous warming projected in the next 48 hours, positions 19 °C and 18 °C as the leading market-implied outcomes at 36.5 % and 26 %, respectively. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-term temperature guidance against the possibility of minor downward revisions if clearer skies develop, keeping probabilities for 17 °C and below under 20 % combined. Updated model runs and official briefings through resolution will provide the next key data points.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月13日東京最低氣溫？
6月13日東京最低氣溫？
19°C 37%
18°C 26%
20°C 22%
21°C或以上 19%
最新
最新
2026-06-13
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
9%
17°C
14%
18°C
26%
19°C
37%
20°C
22%
21°C或以上
19%
19°C 37%
18°C 26%
20°C 22%
21°C或以上 19%
最新
最新
2026-06-13
11°C或以下
$109 交易量
<1%
12°C
$0 交易量
<1%
13°C
$0 交易量
<1%
14°C
$20 交易量
1%
15°C
$20 交易量
1%
16°C
$6 交易量
9%
17°C
$6 交易量
14%
18°C
$0 交易量
26%
19°C
$18 交易量
37%
20°C
$0 交易量
22%
21°C或以上
$0 交易量
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate mostly cloudy conditions over Tokyo through June 13, supporting overnight lows centered near the early-June climatological normal of 18–19 °C with limited radiative cooling due to elevated humidity and light winds. This consensus, reinforced by stable atmospheric patterns in the Kanto region and no significant frontal passages or anomalous warming projected in the next 48 hours, positions 19 °C and 18 °C as the leading market-implied outcomes at 36.5 % and 26 %, respectively. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-term temperature guidance against the possibility of minor downward revisions if clearer skies develop, keeping probabilities for 17 °C and below under 20 % combined. Updated model runs and official briefings through resolution will provide the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$179結束日期
2026-06-13市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate mostly cloudy conditions over Tokyo through June 13, supporting overnight lows centered near the early-June climatological normal of 18–19 °C with limited radiative cooling due to elevated humidity and light winds. This consensus, reinforced by stable atmospheric patterns in the Kanto region and no significant frontal passages or anomalous warming projected in the next 48 hours, positions 19 °C and 18 °C as the leading market-implied outcomes at 36.5 % and 26 %, respectively. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-term temperature guidance against the possibility of minor downward revisions if clearer skies develop, keeping probabilities for 17 °C and below under 20 % combined. Updated model runs and official briefings through resolution will provide the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$179結束日期
2026-06-13市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate mostly cloudy conditions over Tokyo through June 13, supporting overnight lows centered near the early-June climatological normal of 18–19 °C with limited radiative cooling due to elevated humidity and light winds. This consensus, reinforced by stable atmospheric patterns in the Kanto region and no significant frontal passages or anomalous warming projected in the next 48 hours, positions 19 °C and 18 °C as the leading market-implied outcomes at 36.5 % and 26 %, respectively. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-term temperature guidance against the possibility of minor downward revisions if clearer skies develop, keeping probabilities for 17 °C and below under 20 % combined. Updated model runs and official briefings through resolution will provide the next key data points.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions