Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, show clearing skies and light northeasterly flow over Wuhan on September 5, supporting a minimum temperature near 21–23 °C after recent light rain. This consensus underpins the elevated market weighting toward the 18 °C or below bucket while still leaving room for the clustered 21–23 °C outcomes. Daytime heating to around 30–32 °C under partly cloudy conditions and modest humidity should limit overnight radiative cooling, yet small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind could trim the low by 1–2 °C. Traders will watch the next high-resolution model cycles and official 24–48 hour updates for any revision in the thermal profile.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 5?
18°C or below 95%
28°C or higher 59%
19°C 49%
20°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
18°C or below
95%
19°C
49%
20°C
49%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
26%
24°C
49%
25°C
19%
26°C
2%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
59%
18°C or below 95%
28°C or higher 59%
19°C 49%
20°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
95%
19°C
$0 Vol.
49%
20°C
$0 Vol.
49%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
19%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
8%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, show clearing skies and light northeasterly flow over Wuhan on September 5, supporting a minimum temperature near 21–23 °C after recent light rain. This consensus underpins the elevated market weighting toward the 18 °C or below bucket while still leaving room for the clustered 21–23 °C outcomes. Daytime heating to around 30–32 °C under partly cloudy conditions and modest humidity should limit overnight radiative cooling, yet small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind could trim the low by 1–2 °C. Traders will watch the next high-resolution model cycles and official 24–48 hour updates for any revision in the thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, show clearing skies and light northeasterly flow over Wuhan on September 5, supporting a minimum temperature near 21–23 °C after recent light rain. This consensus underpins the elevated market weighting toward the 18 °C or below bucket while still leaving room for the clustered 21–23 °C outcomes. Daytime heating to around 30–32 °C under partly cloudy conditions and modest humidity should limit overnight radiative cooling, yet small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind could trim the low by 1–2 °C. Traders will watch the next high-resolution model cycles and official 24–48 hour updates for any revision in the thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, show clearing skies and light northeasterly flow over Wuhan on September 5, supporting a minimum temperature near 21–23 °C after recent light rain. This consensus underpins the elevated market weighting toward the 18 °C or below bucket while still leaving room for the clustered 21–23 °C outcomes. Daytime heating to around 30–32 °C under partly cloudy conditions and modest humidity should limit overnight radiative cooling, yet small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind could trim the low by 1–2 °C. Traders will watch the next high-resolution model cycles and official 24–48 hour updates for any revision in the thermal profile.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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