**Current forecasts for Zhengzhou on August 31 point to a minimum temperature near 21–22°C under clear to mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow.** Multiple models, including Met Office guidance and local station outlooks, show overnight lows stabilizing around 21°C after daytime highs of 32–34°C, consistent with recent conditions where the August 29 minimum reached 20.5°C. Persistent high pressure and minimal cold-air advection limit further cooling, while light winds reduce radiative losses. Historical late-August climatology places typical minima in the 20–23°C range, supporting the market’s emphasis on outcomes near 22°C (37.5% implied) alongside the leading 25°C-or-higher bucket (43.5%). Model consensus remains tight, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or localized urban effects could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, explaining the spread across nearby temperature strikes. Updated model runs and official station observations will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 31?
15°C or below 94%
25°C or higher 94%
19°C 50%
20°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
15°C or below
94%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
50%
20°C
50%
21°C
26%
22°C
38%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C or higher
94%
15°C or below 94%
25°C or higher 94%
19°C 50%
20°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
94%
16°C
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C
$0 Vol.
49%
18°C
$0 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
50%
20°C
$0 Vol.
50%
21°C
$0 Vol.
26%
22°C
$0 Vol.
38%
23°C
$0 Vol.
50%
24°C
$0 Vol.
50%
25°C or higher
$0 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Zhengzhou on August 31 point to a minimum temperature near 21–22°C under clear to mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow.** Multiple models, including Met Office guidance and local station outlooks, show overnight lows stabilizing around 21°C after daytime highs of 32–34°C, consistent with recent conditions where the August 29 minimum reached 20.5°C. Persistent high pressure and minimal cold-air advection limit further cooling, while light winds reduce radiative losses. Historical late-August climatology places typical minima in the 20–23°C range, supporting the market’s emphasis on outcomes near 22°C (37.5% implied) alongside the leading 25°C-or-higher bucket (43.5%). Model consensus remains tight, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or localized urban effects could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, explaining the spread across nearby temperature strikes. Updated model runs and official station observations will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Zhengzhou on August 31 point to a minimum temperature near 21–22°C under clear to mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow.** Multiple models, including Met Office guidance and local station outlooks, show overnight lows stabilizing around 21°C after daytime highs of 32–34°C, consistent with recent conditions where the August 29 minimum reached 20.5°C. Persistent high pressure and minimal cold-air advection limit further cooling, while light winds reduce radiative losses. Historical late-August climatology places typical minima in the 20–23°C range, supporting the market’s emphasis on outcomes near 22°C (37.5% implied) alongside the leading 25°C-or-higher bucket (43.5%). Model consensus remains tight, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or localized urban effects could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, explaining the spread across nearby temperature strikes. Updated model runs and official station observations will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Zhengzhou on August 31 point to a minimum temperature near 21–22°C under clear to mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow.** Multiple models, including Met Office guidance and local station outlooks, show overnight lows stabilizing around 21°C after daytime highs of 32–34°C, consistent with recent conditions where the August 29 minimum reached 20.5°C. Persistent high pressure and minimal cold-air advection limit further cooling, while light winds reduce radiative losses. Historical late-August climatology places typical minima in the 20–23°C range, supporting the market’s emphasis on outcomes near 22°C (37.5% implied) alongside the leading 25°C-or-higher bucket (43.5%). Model consensus remains tight, though small differences in boundary-layer moisture or localized urban effects could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, explaining the spread across nearby temperature strikes. Updated model runs and official station observations will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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