Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional numerical weather prediction systems indicate sunny skies and light northerly winds over Zhengzhou on August 31, supporting a daytime maximum of 32–34 °C. This aligns with the market-implied 59.5 % probability for 32 °C or higher, reflecting recent late-August warming trends and low precipitation risk that favor strong diurnal heating. Historical climatology for the city shows typical August highs near 30–32 °C under similar high-pressure patterns, with current ensemble guidance showing limited spread around these values. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily, though fresh observational data or subtle steering changes could still adjust the final peak by 1–2 °C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 31?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 31?
32°C or higher 57%
31°C 49%
30°C 19%
29°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
19%
31°C
49%
32°C or higher
57%
32°C or higher 57%
31°C 49%
30°C 19%
29°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
22°C or below
$16 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$11 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
19%
31°C
$0 Vol.
49%
32°C or higher
$712 Vol.
57%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional numerical weather prediction systems indicate sunny skies and light northerly winds over Zhengzhou on August 31, supporting a daytime maximum of 32–34 °C. This aligns with the market-implied 59.5 % probability for 32 °C or higher, reflecting recent late-August warming trends and low precipitation risk that favor strong diurnal heating. Historical climatology for the city shows typical August highs near 30–32 °C under similar high-pressure patterns, with current ensemble guidance showing limited spread around these values. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily, though fresh observational data or subtle steering changes could still adjust the final peak by 1–2 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$363End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional numerical weather prediction systems indicate sunny skies and light northerly winds over Zhengzhou on August 31, supporting a daytime maximum of 32–34 °C. This aligns with the market-implied 59.5 % probability for 32 °C or higher, reflecting recent late-August warming trends and low precipitation risk that favor strong diurnal heating. Historical climatology for the city shows typical August highs near 30–32 °C under similar high-pressure patterns, with current ensemble guidance showing limited spread around these values. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily, though fresh observational data or subtle steering changes could still adjust the final peak by 1–2 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$363End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional numerical weather prediction systems indicate sunny skies and light northerly winds over Zhengzhou on August 31, supporting a daytime maximum of 32–34 °C. This aligns with the market-implied 59.5 % probability for 32 °C or higher, reflecting recent late-August warming trends and low precipitation risk that favor strong diurnal heating. Historical climatology for the city shows typical August highs near 30–32 °C under similar high-pressure patterns, with current ensemble guidance showing limited spread around these values. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily, though fresh observational data or subtle steering changes could still adjust the final peak by 1–2 °C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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