Mike Mazzei holds a strong lead in trader pricing for the Republican nomination in Oklahoma’s 2026 gubernatorial race due to his narrow first-place finish in the June 16 primary, which advanced him and Attorney General Gentner Drummond to the August 25 runoff, and his endorsement from President Donald Trump. Drummond, who placed a close second in the initial primary with 26.3% to Mazzei’s 26.0%, has drawn support from his statewide profile and record on issues such as marijuana enforcement and tribal relations, yet faces a crowded field of eliminated contenders including Chip Keating, Charles McCall, and others now priced near zero. A mid-August poll showing a statistical tie at 44% each highlights the competitive runoff dynamics, though market pricing reflects consensus around Mazzei’s fundraising, messaging alignment with conservative voters, and momentum heading into the final voting window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMike Mazzei 73.4%
Genter Drummond 27%
Leisa Mitchell Haynes <1%
Charles McCall <1%
$450,475 Vol.
$450,475 Vol.
Mike Mazzei
73%
Genter Drummond
27%
Leisa Mitchell Haynes
<1%
Charles McCall
<1%
Ryan Walters
<1%
Chip Keating
<1%
Jake Merrick
<1%
Matt Pinnell
<1%
Mike Mazzei 73.4%
Genter Drummond 27%
Leisa Mitchell Haynes <1%
Charles McCall <1%
$450,475 Vol.
$450,475 Vol.
Mike Mazzei
73%
Genter Drummond
27%
Leisa Mitchell Haynes
<1%
Charles McCall
<1%
Ryan Walters
<1%
Chip Keating
<1%
Jake Merrick
<1%
Matt Pinnell
<1%
If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Mike Mazzei holds a strong lead in trader pricing for the Republican nomination in Oklahoma’s 2026 gubernatorial race due to his narrow first-place finish in the June 16 primary, which advanced him and Attorney General Gentner Drummond to the August 25 runoff, and his endorsement from President Donald Trump. Drummond, who placed a close second in the initial primary with 26.3% to Mazzei’s 26.0%, has drawn support from his statewide profile and record on issues such as marijuana enforcement and tribal relations, yet faces a crowded field of eliminated contenders including Chip Keating, Charles McCall, and others now priced near zero. A mid-August poll showing a statistical tie at 44% each highlights the competitive runoff dynamics, though market pricing reflects consensus around Mazzei’s fundraising, messaging alignment with conservative voters, and momentum heading into the final voting window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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