Skip to main content
icon for Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

Mike Mazzei 71.5%

Genter Drummond 21%

Leisa Mitchell Haynes <1%

Charles McCall <1%

Polymarket

$447,819 Vol.

Mike Mazzei 71.5%

Genter Drummond 21%

Leisa Mitchell Haynes <1%

Charles McCall <1%

Polymarket

$447,819 Vol.

icon for Mike Mazzei

Mike Mazzei

$86,956 Vol.

72%

icon for Genter Drummond

Genter Drummond

$172,846 Vol.

21%

icon for Leisa Mitchell Haynes

Leisa Mitchell Haynes

$6,429 Vol.

<1%

icon for Charles McCall

Charles McCall

$145,350 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ryan Walters

Ryan Walters

$8,417 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chip Keating

Chip Keating

$6,670 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jake Merrick

Jake Merrick

$10,315 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matt Pinnell

Matt Pinnell

$10,838 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Mike Mazzei leads trader consensus for the Oklahoma Republican gubernatorial nomination heading into the August 25 runoff, reflecting his Trump endorsement, prior state Senate experience, and emphasis on tax cuts for seniors and veterans plus education and business reforms. Gentner Drummond, the sitting attorney general, advanced from the June 16 primary alongside Mazzei after both edged out Chip Keating, Charles McCall, and others in a fragmented field where no candidate reached 50 percent. Recent debate exchanges and a late poll showing the pair tied have not shifted market positioning, as traders weigh Mazzei's broader conservative base support against Drummond's statewide profile in the final stretch before resolution. Other listed candidates remain sidelined with negligible implied probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$447,819
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Mike Mazzei leads trader consensus for the Oklahoma Republican gubernatorial nomination heading into the August 25 runoff, reflecting his Trump endorsement, prior state Senate experience, and emphasis on tax cuts for seniors and veterans plus education and business reforms. Gentner Drummond, the sitting attorney general, advanced from the June 16 primary alongside Mazzei after both edged out Chip Keating, Charles McCall, and others in a fragmented field where no candidate reached 50 percent. Recent debate exchanges and a late poll showing the pair tied have not shifted market positioning, as traders weigh Mazzei's broader conservative base support against Drummond's statewide profile in the final stretch before resolution. Other listed candidates remain sidelined with negligible implied probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$447,819
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mike Mazzei" at 72%, followed by "Genter Drummond" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $447.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Mike Mazzei" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Genter Drummond" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.