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Политика·Глобальные выборы

Победитель выборов губернатора Параны

icon for Победитель выборов губернатора Параны
Политика·Глобальные выборы

Победитель выборов губернатора Параны

Серхио Моро 68%

Рекуиан Фильо 20%

Александр Кури 14.2%

Рафаэл Грекка 4.0%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Серхио Моро 68%

Рекуиан Фильо 20%

Александр Кури 14.2%

Рафаэл Грекка 4.0%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Серхио Моро

$3,111 Объем

68%

Рекуиан Фильо

$225 Объем

20%

Александр Кури

$143 Объем

14%

Рафаэл Грекка

$201 Объем

9%

Бету Рича

$202 Объем

1%

Энио Верри

$128 Объем

<1%

Гуто Силва

$133 Объем

<1%

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from June 2026 shows Senator Sergio Moro (PL) leading first-round scenarios for the October 4 Paraná gubernatorial election with 39-42% support, well ahead of Requião Filho (PDT) at 18-20% and Rafael Greca (MDB) near 14%, establishing trader consensus reflected in the 78.5% implied probability for Moro. His party switch to PL secured bolsonarista backing ahead of formal candidacy deadlines, while the open race—following term limits on incumbent Ratinho Júnior (PSD)—leaves limited momentum for successors like Sandro Alex. Multiple other declared or speculated names remain fragmented below 15%, with two-thirds of voters indicating their preferences could shift before the first round.

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$4,144
Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from June 2026 shows Senator Sergio Moro (PL) leading first-round scenarios for the October 4 Paraná gubernatorial election with 39-42% support, well ahead of Requião Filho (PDT) at 18-20% and Rafael Greca (MDB) near 14%, establishing trader consensus reflected in the 78.5% implied probability for Moro. His party switch to PL secured bolsonarista backing ahead of formal candidacy deadlines, while the open race—following term limits on incumbent Ratinho Júnior (PSD)—leaves limited momentum for successors like Sandro Alex. Multiple other declared or speculated names remain fragmented below 15%, with two-thirds of voters indicating their preferences could shift before the first round.

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$4,144
Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов губернатора Параны» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Серхио Моро» с 68%, за ним следует «Рекуиан Фильо» с 20%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 68¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 68%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Победитель выборов губернатора Параны» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jun 9, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов губернатора Параны», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов губернатора Параны» — «Серхио Моро» с 68%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 68%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Рекуиан Фильо» с 20%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов губернатора Параны» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.