**Trader consensus in the PPI YoY July 2026 market has coalesced around the ≤5.1% outcome at near-certain implied probability following the Bureau of Labor Statistics release showing a 4.7% year-over-year increase.** The headline final demand index was unchanged month-over-month, with goods prices falling 0.7%—led by energy and food components—while services rose just 0.2%. This marks a notable deceleration from June’s 5.5% reading and aligns with broader cooling in producer inflation amid softer commodity costs and prior downward revisions. Market-implied odds reflect the skin-in-the-game assessment of this confirmed data point rather than forward estimates. A late data revision exceeding 0.4 percentage points or an unexpected surge in unreported components could theoretically test the threshold, though historical precedent for such sizable adjustments remains limited.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated≤5.1% 100.0%
5.2% <1%
5.3% <1%
5.4% <1%
$66,851 Vol.
$66,851 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
≤5.1%
Yes
5.2%
No
5.3%
No
5.4%
No
5.5%
No
5.6%
No
5.7%
No
5.8%
No
5.9%
No
6.0%+
No
≤5.1% 100.0%
5.2% <1%
5.3% <1%
5.4% <1%
$66,851 Vol.
$66,851 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
≤5.1%
$19,244 Vol.
Yes
5.2%
$37,875 Vol.
No
5.3%
$2,276 Vol.
No
5.4%
$2,085 Vol.
No
5.5%
$1,310 Vol.
No
5.6%
$839 Vol.
No
5.7%
$665 Vol.
No
5.8%
$576 Vol.
No
5.9%
$657 Vol.
No
6.0%+
$1,322 Vol.
No
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Trader consensus in the PPI YoY July 2026 market has coalesced around the ≤5.1% outcome at near-certain implied probability following the Bureau of Labor Statistics release showing a 4.7% year-over-year increase.** The headline final demand index was unchanged month-over-month, with goods prices falling 0.7%—led by energy and food components—while services rose just 0.2%. This marks a notable deceleration from June’s 5.5% reading and aligns with broader cooling in producer inflation amid softer commodity costs and prior downward revisions. Market-implied odds reflect the skin-in-the-game assessment of this confirmed data point rather than forward estimates. A late data revision exceeding 0.4 percentage points or an unexpected surge in unreported components could theoretically test the threshold, though historical precedent for such sizable adjustments remains limited.
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Jul 16, 2026, 10:32 AM ET
Volume
$66,851End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 10:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Trader consensus in the PPI YoY July 2026 market has coalesced around the ≤5.1% outcome at near-certain implied probability following the Bureau of Labor Statistics release showing a 4.7% year-over-year increase.** The headline final demand index was unchanged month-over-month, with goods prices falling 0.7%—led by energy and food components—while services rose just 0.2%. This marks a notable deceleration from June’s 5.5% reading and aligns with broader cooling in producer inflation amid softer commodity costs and prior downward revisions. Market-implied odds reflect the skin-in-the-game assessment of this confirmed data point rather than forward estimates. A late data revision exceeding 0.4 percentage points or an unexpected surge in unreported components could theoretically test the threshold, though historical precedent for such sizable adjustments remains limited.
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$66,851End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 10:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
**Trader consensus in the PPI YoY July 2026 market has coalesced around the ≤5.1% outcome at near-certain implied probability following the Bureau of Labor Statistics release showing a 4.7% year-over-year increase.** The headline final demand index was unchanged month-over-month, with goods prices falling 0.7%—led by energy and food components—while services rose just 0.2%. This marks a notable deceleration from June’s 5.5% reading and aligns with broader cooling in producer inflation amid softer commodity costs and prior downward revisions. Market-implied odds reflect the skin-in-the-game assessment of this confirmed data point rather than forward estimates. A late data revision exceeding 0.4 percentage points or an unexpected surge in unreported components could theoretically test the threshold, though historical precedent for such sizable adjustments remains limited.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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