Republican-led efforts to redraw South Carolina's congressional maps through mid-decade redistricting have emerged as the primary driver behind current trader consensus in the SC-06 House election market. Lawmakers advanced proposals that would split the district's Democratic-leaning areas, including portions of York County and Rock Hill, potentially diluting its historic advantage and shifting it toward greater competitiveness. Incumbent Jim Clyburn's March announcement that he will seek an 18th term has clarified the Democratic side, yet analysts continue to rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic based on prior boundaries. These map changes, combined with the November 2026 general election timeline and primary contests set for June, account for the elevated implied probability assigned to a Republican outcome relative to the district's long-standing partisan lean.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSC-06 House Election Winner
SC-06 House Election Winner
$15,928 Vol.
$15,928 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
68%
Democratic Party
27%
$15,928 Vol.
$15,928 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,915 Vol.
68%
Democratic Party
$7,013 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican-led efforts to redraw South Carolina's congressional maps through mid-decade redistricting have emerged as the primary driver behind current trader consensus in the SC-06 House election market. Lawmakers advanced proposals that would split the district's Democratic-leaning areas, including portions of York County and Rock Hill, potentially diluting its historic advantage and shifting it toward greater competitiveness. Incumbent Jim Clyburn's March announcement that he will seek an 18th term has clarified the Democratic side, yet analysts continue to rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic based on prior boundaries. These map changes, combined with the November 2026 general election timeline and primary contests set for June, account for the elevated implied probability assigned to a Republican outcome relative to the district's long-standing partisan lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$15,928End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican-led efforts to redraw South Carolina's congressional maps through mid-decade redistricting have emerged as the primary driver behind current trader consensus in the SC-06 House election market. Lawmakers advanced proposals that would split the district's Democratic-leaning areas, including portions of York County and Rock Hill, potentially diluting its historic advantage and shifting it toward greater competitiveness. Incumbent Jim Clyburn's March announcement that he will seek an 18th term has clarified the Democratic side, yet analysts continue to rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic based on prior boundaries. These map changes, combined with the November 2026 general election timeline and primary contests set for June, account for the elevated implied probability assigned to a Republican outcome relative to the district's long-standing partisan lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,928End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican-led efforts to redraw South Carolina's congressional maps through mid-decade redistricting have emerged as the primary driver behind current trader consensus in the SC-06 House election market. Lawmakers advanced proposals that would split the district's Democratic-leaning areas, including portions of York County and Rock Hill, potentially diluting its historic advantage and shifting it toward greater competitiveness. Incumbent Jim Clyburn's March announcement that he will seek an 18th term has clarified the Democratic side, yet analysts continue to rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic based on prior boundaries. These map changes, combined with the November 2026 general election timeline and primary contests set for June, account for the elevated implied probability assigned to a Republican outcome relative to the district's long-standing partisan lean.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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