The open seat in Texas's 23rd congressional district, following incumbent Republican Tony Gonzales's April 2026 resignation amid scandal, has shaped trader positioning for the November general election. Brandon Herrera secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the primary process, while Katy Padilla Stout won the Democratic primary outright. The district's Republican lean, reinforced by prior redistricting and historical voting patterns, underpins the 69.5% implied probability for the GOP nominee despite a March 2026 poll showing a narrow head-to-head contest. Limited recent polling and the absence of further major developments have kept probabilities stable, with the Republican candidate favored in line with the seat's partisan voting index.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-23 House Election Winner
TX-23 House Election Winner
$28,469 Обс.
$28,469 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
74%
Democratic Party
28%
$28,469 Обс.
$28,469 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$16,201 Обс.
74%
Democratic Party
$12,268 Обс.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Texas's 23rd congressional district, following incumbent Republican Tony Gonzales's April 2026 resignation amid scandal, has shaped trader positioning for the November general election. Brandon Herrera secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the primary process, while Katy Padilla Stout won the Democratic primary outright. The district's Republican lean, reinforced by prior redistricting and historical voting patterns, underpins the 69.5% implied probability for the GOP nominee despite a March 2026 poll showing a narrow head-to-head contest. Limited recent polling and the absence of further major developments have kept probabilities stable, with the Republican candidate favored in line with the seat's partisan voting index.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$28,469Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Texas's 23rd congressional district, following incumbent Republican Tony Gonzales's April 2026 resignation amid scandal, has shaped trader positioning for the November general election. Brandon Herrera secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the primary process, while Katy Padilla Stout won the Democratic primary outright. The district's Republican lean, reinforced by prior redistricting and historical voting patterns, underpins the 69.5% implied probability for the GOP nominee despite a March 2026 poll showing a narrow head-to-head contest. Limited recent polling and the absence of further major developments have kept probabilities stable, with the Republican candidate favored in line with the seat's partisan voting index.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$28,469Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Texas's 23rd congressional district, following incumbent Republican Tony Gonzales's April 2026 resignation amid scandal, has shaped trader positioning for the November general election. Brandon Herrera secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the primary process, while Katy Padilla Stout won the Democratic primary outright. The district's Republican lean, reinforced by prior redistricting and historical voting patterns, underpins the 69.5% implied probability for the GOP nominee despite a March 2026 poll showing a narrow head-to-head contest. Limited recent polling and the absence of further major developments have kept probabilities stable, with the Republican candidate favored in line with the seat's partisan voting index.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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