**Trader sentiment for the third-best Text Arena Math AI lab by end of September reflects a tightly contested field driven by current arena.ai leaderboard positions in the math category.** Anthropic models occupy most top ranks with strong overall performance, but Z.ai (GLM-5.3 variants), Google (Gemini 3.x Flash/Pro), and Alibaba (Qwen3 series) deliver competitive math-specific Elo scores around 1498–1513 as of mid-September 2026. Z.ai and Alibaba models show particular strength in math reasoning tasks, supported by frequent updates and open-weight accessibility that sustain user voting volume. With only two weeks until resolution and no major flagship releases reported in the past week, traders see high uncertainty among these labs for the third slot, explaining the broad distribution of market-implied odds across multiple contenders. Upcoming model drops or leaderboard shifts could still alter the order before month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedZ.ai 43.0%
Google 20%
Alibaba 20%
Meta 5.2%
$64,465 Vol.
$64,465 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Z.ai
43%
20%
Alibaba
20%
Meta
5%
OpenAI
4%
Moonshot
3%
SpaceXAI
2%
Xiaomi
1%
DeepSeek
1%
MiniMax
1%
Anthropic
1%
Baidu
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Bytedance
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Z.ai 43.0%
Google 20%
Alibaba 20%
Meta 5.2%
$64,465 Vol.
$64,465 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Z.ai
$7,233 Vol.
43%
$7,267 Vol.
20%
Alibaba
$13,693 Vol.
20%
Meta
$1,947 Vol.
5%
OpenAI
$9,925 Vol.
4%
Moonshot
$2,787 Vol.
3%
SpaceXAI
$1,992 Vol.
2%
Xiaomi
$1,784 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$1,535 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$2,639 Vol.
1%
Anthropic
$2,670 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$2,632 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,553 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$1,586 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$1,535 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$743 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$756 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$575 Vol.
<1%
Bytedance
$916 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$698 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Trader sentiment for the third-best Text Arena Math AI lab by end of September reflects a tightly contested field driven by current arena.ai leaderboard positions in the math category.** Anthropic models occupy most top ranks with strong overall performance, but Z.ai (GLM-5.3 variants), Google (Gemini 3.x Flash/Pro), and Alibaba (Qwen3 series) deliver competitive math-specific Elo scores around 1498–1513 as of mid-September 2026. Z.ai and Alibaba models show particular strength in math reasoning tasks, supported by frequent updates and open-weight accessibility that sustain user voting volume. With only two weeks until resolution and no major flagship releases reported in the past week, traders see high uncertainty among these labs for the third slot, explaining the broad distribution of market-implied odds across multiple contenders. Upcoming model drops or leaderboard shifts could still alter the order before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ET
Volume
$64,465End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Trader sentiment for the third-best Text Arena Math AI lab by end of September reflects a tightly contested field driven by current arena.ai leaderboard positions in the math category.** Anthropic models occupy most top ranks with strong overall performance, but Z.ai (GLM-5.3 variants), Google (Gemini 3.x Flash/Pro), and Alibaba (Qwen3 series) deliver competitive math-specific Elo scores around 1498–1513 as of mid-September 2026. Z.ai and Alibaba models show particular strength in math reasoning tasks, supported by frequent updates and open-weight accessibility that sustain user voting volume. With only two weeks until resolution and no major flagship releases reported in the past week, traders see high uncertainty among these labs for the third slot, explaining the broad distribution of market-implied odds across multiple contenders. Upcoming model drops or leaderboard shifts could still alter the order before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$64,465End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the third-best Text Arena Math AI lab by end of September reflects a tightly contested field driven by current arena.ai leaderboard positions in the math category.** Anthropic models occupy most top ranks with strong overall performance, but Z.ai (GLM-5.3 variants), Google (Gemini 3.x Flash/Pro), and Alibaba (Qwen3 series) deliver competitive math-specific Elo scores around 1498–1513 as of mid-September 2026. Z.ai and Alibaba models show particular strength in math reasoning tasks, supported by frequent updates and open-weight accessibility that sustain user voting volume. With only two weeks until resolution and no major flagship releases reported in the past week, traders see high uncertainty among these labs for the third slot, explaining the broad distribution of market-implied odds across multiple contenders. Upcoming model drops or leaderboard shifts could still alter the order before month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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