Morena’s coalition with PT and PVEM secured the largest bloc of district victories in Veracruz’s recent state congress election, according to preliminary PREP tallies that captured over 97 percent of actas and showed the alliance claiming 26 or more seats while opposition parties captured only a handful. This outcome reflects sustained voter support for the federal ruling party in the state, effective coalition coordination on majority-relative districts, and a fragmented opposition field that split votes among PAN, PRI, and PRD candidates. Post-election shifts of several deputies from smaller parties into Morena’s ranks have further consolidated its position ahead of final certification and group formation in the new legislature. Traders price Morena highest at 55.5 percent implied probability, with other parties trailing at lower levels, consistent with these verified seat totals and historical patterns of the largest party bloc prevailing in Mexican state congresses. Remaining uncertainty centers on plurinominal seat allocation and any late recounts in tight districts.