**Tight inventory and steady demand have anchored Chicago metro home values near recent Zillow Home Value Index levels of approximately $334,030 as of late August 2026, supporting the market-implied concentration in the $335K–$340K range.** Low months of supply, down sharply year-over-year across the metro, continue to limit seller listings and sustain competitive bidding, even as national listing prices softened and mortgage rates held in the mid-6% range. Recent data show Chicago-area median sale prices rising 4.6–6.5% year-over-year through mid-2026, outpacing the national pace amid relative affordability that draws buyers, while August CPI readings reflected contained shelter inflation. With resolution just days away, seasonal patterns and the absence of major new supply or policy shifts reinforce trader consensus around modest near-term stability rather than sharp moves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$335K - $340K 60%
$340K - $345K 23%
$330K - $335K 12.4%
$345K+ 1.9%
$103,675 Vol.
$103,675 Vol.
Oct 10, 2026
<$320K
<1%
$320K - $325K
<1%
$325K - $330K
1%
$330K - $335K
12%
$335K - $340K
60%
$340K - $345K
23%
$345K+
2%
$335K - $340K 60%
$340K - $345K 23%
$330K - $335K 12.4%
$345K+ 1.9%
$103,675 Vol.
$103,675 Vol.
Oct 10, 2026
<$320K
$2,955 Vol.
<1%
$320K - $325K
$4,767 Vol.
<1%
$325K - $330K
$3,766 Vol.
1%
$330K - $335K
$10,723 Vol.
12%
$335K - $340K
$20,070 Vol.
60%
$340K - $345K
$26,398 Vol.
23%
$345K+
$34,997 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)**Tight inventory and steady demand have anchored Chicago metro home values near recent Zillow Home Value Index levels of approximately $334,030 as of late August 2026, supporting the market-implied concentration in the $335K–$340K range.** Low months of supply, down sharply year-over-year across the metro, continue to limit seller listings and sustain competitive bidding, even as national listing prices softened and mortgage rates held in the mid-6% range. Recent data show Chicago-area median sale prices rising 4.6–6.5% year-over-year through mid-2026, outpacing the national pace amid relative affordability that draws buyers, while August CPI readings reflected contained shelter inflation. With resolution just days away, seasonal patterns and the absence of major new supply or policy shifts reinforce trader consensus around modest near-term stability rather than sharp moves.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volume
$103,675End Date
Oct 11, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)**Tight inventory and steady demand have anchored Chicago metro home values near recent Zillow Home Value Index levels of approximately $334,030 as of late August 2026, supporting the market-implied concentration in the $335K–$340K range.** Low months of supply, down sharply year-over-year across the metro, continue to limit seller listings and sustain competitive bidding, even as national listing prices softened and mortgage rates held in the mid-6% range. Recent data show Chicago-area median sale prices rising 4.6–6.5% year-over-year through mid-2026, outpacing the national pace amid relative affordability that draws buyers, while August CPI readings reflected contained shelter inflation. With resolution just days away, seasonal patterns and the absence of major new supply or policy shifts reinforce trader consensus around modest near-term stability rather than sharp moves.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
Volume
$103,675End Date
Oct 11, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Tight inventory and steady demand have anchored Chicago metro home values near recent Zillow Home Value Index levels of approximately $334,030 as of late August 2026, supporting the market-implied concentration in the $335K–$340K range.** Low months of supply, down sharply year-over-year across the metro, continue to limit seller listings and sustain competitive bidding, even as national listing prices softened and mortgage rates held in the mid-6% range. Recent data show Chicago-area median sale prices rising 4.6–6.5% year-over-year through mid-2026, outpacing the national pace amid relative affordability that draws buyers, while August CPI readings reflected contained shelter inflation. With resolution just days away, seasonal patterns and the absence of major new supply or policy shifts reinforce trader consensus around modest near-term stability rather than sharp moves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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