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icon for What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?
Economy·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?

icon for What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?
Economy·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?

559 - 566k 42%

553 - 559k 31%

566 - 572k 24%

572 - 579k 10%

Polymarket
NEW

559 - 566k 42%

553 - 559k 31%

566 - 572k 24%

572 - 579k 10%

Polymarket
NEW

<553k

$0 Vol.

7%

553 - 559k

$96 Vol.

26%

559 - 566k

$95 Vol.

44%

566 - 572k

$1,002 Vol.

22%

572 - 579k

$0 Vol.

10%

579 - 585k

$0 Vol.

7%

585 - 598k

$6 Vol.

7%

>598k

$0 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36) Recent Zillow Home Value Index data for the Washington, D.C., metro area place typical home values at approximately $580,000 as of late April 2026, down about 3% year-over-year amid rising active listings and federal employment uncertainty. This positioning supports the market’s leading 559-566k bucket at 43.5% implied probability, with the adjacent 553-559k and 566-572k ranges capturing the balance of trader sentiment. Elevated inventory, softer contract activity in some segments, and 2026 forecasts projecting 0.7–1% price softening have anchored probabilities around these levels rather than higher brackets. With resolution only two weeks away, any final May housing reports or mortgage-rate movements could still shift the precise outcome within the narrow band.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Volume
$1,199
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 6:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36) Recent Zillow Home Value Index data for the Washington, D.C., metro area place typical home values at approximately $580,000 as of late April 2026, down about 3% year-over-year amid rising active listings and federal employment uncertainty. This positioning supports the market’s leading 559-566k bucket at 43.5% implied probability, with the adjacent 553-559k and 566-572k ranges capturing the balance of trader sentiment. Elevated inventory, softer contract activity in some segments, and 2026 forecasts projecting 0.7–1% price softening have anchored probabilities around these levels rather than higher brackets. With resolution only two weeks away, any final May housing reports or mortgage-rate movements could still shift the precise outcome within the narrow band.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Volume
$1,199
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 6:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "559 - 566k" at 44%, followed by "553 - 559k" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?" is "559 - 566k" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "553 - 559k" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.