Recent vetoes by Russia and China of a U.S. draft resolution to extend the U.N. panel monitoring Iran sanctions underscore deep divisions within the Security Council over the post-snapback sanctions regime and IAEA access restrictions. These permanent members have signaled opposition to renewed monitoring mandates, citing expired prior resolutions and calling instead for diplomatic resolution of the broader U.S.-Iran conflict. With the June 2026 memorandum of understanding still requiring detailed negotiations on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and inspections—and little verified progress reported since the 60-day window closed—securing the nine affirmative votes needed for a binding endorsement appears unlikely before year-end. Trader consensus reflects these institutional barriers and the compressed timeline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
14% chance
$244,469 Vol.
$244,469 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
14% chance
$244,469 Vol.
$244,469 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent vetoes by Russia and China of a U.S. draft resolution to extend the U.N. panel monitoring Iran sanctions underscore deep divisions within the Security Council over the post-snapback sanctions regime and IAEA access restrictions. These permanent members have signaled opposition to renewed monitoring mandates, citing expired prior resolutions and calling instead for diplomatic resolution of the broader U.S.-Iran conflict. With the June 2026 memorandum of understanding still requiring detailed negotiations on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and inspections—and little verified progress reported since the 60-day window closed—securing the nine affirmative votes needed for a binding endorsement appears unlikely before year-end. Trader consensus reflects these institutional barriers and the compressed timeline.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
Volume
$244,469End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent vetoes by Russia and China of a U.S. draft resolution to extend the U.N. panel monitoring Iran sanctions underscore deep divisions within the Security Council over the post-snapback sanctions regime and IAEA access restrictions. These permanent members have signaled opposition to renewed monitoring mandates, citing expired prior resolutions and calling instead for diplomatic resolution of the broader U.S.-Iran conflict. With the June 2026 memorandum of understanding still requiring detailed negotiations on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and inspections—and little verified progress reported since the 60-day window closed—securing the nine affirmative votes needed for a binding endorsement appears unlikely before year-end. Trader consensus reflects these institutional barriers and the compressed timeline.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$244,469End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent vetoes by Russia and China of a U.S. draft resolution to extend the U.N. panel monitoring Iran sanctions underscore deep divisions within the Security Council over the post-snapback sanctions regime and IAEA access restrictions. These permanent members have signaled opposition to renewed monitoring mandates, citing expired prior resolutions and calling instead for diplomatic resolution of the broader U.S.-Iran conflict. With the June 2026 memorandum of understanding still requiring detailed negotiations on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and inspections—and little verified progress reported since the 60-day window closed—securing the nine affirmative votes needed for a binding endorsement appears unlikely before year-end. Trader consensus reflects these institutional barriers and the compressed timeline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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