Morena leads recent polling averages for the 2027 Zacatecas state elections, reflecting its incumbency advantage and national momentum, though internal coordination disputes between figures such as Verónica Díaz Robles and Ulises Mejía Haro have introduced uncertainty ahead of candidate finalization. Public surveys from September and October 2026 place Morena at 28-38% party preference, ahead of PRI and PAN, with projections for the 30-seat congress showing Morena holding a plurality but short of a clear majority. Opposition fragmentation and potential alliances involving PVEM or PT keep the contest competitive, while trader pricing at near-even levels for multiple outcomes signals sensitivity to shifts in turnout, candidate consolidation, or late campaign developments before the June 2027 vote.