The competitive field for second place in Amapá's 2026 Senate election remains tight, with traders assigning Helio Silva, Acácio Favacho, Rayssa Furlan, Lucas Barreto, and Randolfe Rodrigues the highest implied probabilities amid a crowded slate of nine registered candidates. Recent formalization of candidacies by the August 15 deadline, followed immediately by Randolfe's campaign launch events in key municipalities, has sustained uncertainty over vote consolidation and coalition dynamics in a state where two seats are contested under Brazil's plurality system. Earlier polling averages highlighted Rayssa Furlan and Lucas Barreto as frontrunners, yet the absence of fresh surveys since registration and the potential for late shifts among undecided voters or smaller-party alignments continue to compress separation among the top group.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlection sénatoriale d'Amapá : 2e place
Élection sénatoriale d'Amapá : 2e place
Rayssa Furlan 46%
Capi 26%
Acácio Favacho 24%
Helio Silva 24%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 oct. 2026
Rayssa Furlan
46%
Capi
26%
Acácio Favacho
24%
Helio Silva
24%
Randolfe
21%
Lucas Barreto
21%
Professeur Uzian Pinto
20%
Alliny Serrão
20%
Juíza Jô
20%
Rayssa Furlan 46%
Capi 26%
Acácio Favacho 24%
Helio Silva 24%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 oct. 2026
Rayssa Furlan
$0 Vol.
46%
Capi
$0 Vol.
26%
Acácio Favacho
$0 Vol.
24%
Helio Silva
$0 Vol.
24%
Randolfe
$0 Vol.
21%
Lucas Barreto
$0 Vol.
21%
Professeur Uzian Pinto
$0 Vol.
20%
Alliny Serrão
$0 Vol.
20%
Juíza Jô
$0 Vol.
20%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The competitive field for second place in Amapá's 2026 Senate election remains tight, with traders assigning Helio Silva, Acácio Favacho, Rayssa Furlan, Lucas Barreto, and Randolfe Rodrigues the highest implied probabilities amid a crowded slate of nine registered candidates. Recent formalization of candidacies by the August 15 deadline, followed immediately by Randolfe's campaign launch events in key municipalities, has sustained uncertainty over vote consolidation and coalition dynamics in a state where two seats are contested under Brazil's plurality system. Earlier polling averages highlighted Rayssa Furlan and Lucas Barreto as frontrunners, yet the absence of fresh surveys since registration and the potential for late shifts among undecided voters or smaller-party alignments continue to compress separation among the top group.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The competitive field for second place in Amapá's 2026 Senate election remains tight, with traders assigning Helio Silva, Acácio Favacho, Rayssa Furlan, Lucas Barreto, and Randolfe Rodrigues the highest implied probabilities amid a crowded slate of nine registered candidates. Recent formalization of candidacies by the August 15 deadline, followed immediately by Randolfe's campaign launch events in key municipalities, has sustained uncertainty over vote consolidation and coalition dynamics in a state where two seats are contested under Brazil's plurality system. Earlier polling averages highlighted Rayssa Furlan and Lucas Barreto as frontrunners, yet the absence of fresh surveys since registration and the potential for late shifts among undecided voters or smaller-party alignments continue to compress separation among the top group.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The competitive field for second place in Amapá's 2026 Senate election remains tight, with traders assigning Helio Silva, Acácio Favacho, Rayssa Furlan, Lucas Barreto, and Randolfe Rodrigues the highest implied probabilities amid a crowded slate of nine registered candidates. Recent formalization of candidacies by the August 15 deadline, followed immediately by Randolfe's campaign launch events in key municipalities, has sustained uncertainty over vote consolidation and coalition dynamics in a state where two seats are contested under Brazil's plurality system. Earlier polling averages highlighted Rayssa Furlan and Lucas Barreto as frontrunners, yet the absence of fresh surveys since registration and the potential for late shifts among undecided voters or smaller-party alignments continue to compress separation among the top group.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Helio Silva remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de l'Amapá en 2026 ?
27%
Oui
Salles remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de São Paulo en 2026 ?
40%
Oui
Willem da Silva obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Pará ?
28%
Oui
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