Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a Beijing high temperature of 19°C today under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for this outcome. Historical May averages in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius provide climatological context, yet recent model consensus and real-time observations align tightly with this specific threshold rather than warmer or cooler alternatives. Traders’ strong positioning reflects confidence in these verified meteorological data, though minor shifts could arise from localized urban heat effects or final official station measurements at the close of the observation period.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Pékin le 17 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 17 mai ?
19°C 99.8%
21°C <1%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$133,652 Vol.
$133,652 Vol.
17 mai 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.8%
21°C <1%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$133,652 Vol.
$133,652 Vol.
17 mai 2026
13°C or below
$533 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$30,787 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,780 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$6,602 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$8,798 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$14,358 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$28,479 Vol.
100%
20°C
$16,906 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$6,289 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$8,683 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$10,937 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a Beijing high temperature of 19°C today under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for this outcome. Historical May averages in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius provide climatological context, yet recent model consensus and real-time observations align tightly with this specific threshold rather than warmer or cooler alternatives. Traders’ strong positioning reflects confidence in these verified meteorological data, though minor shifts could arise from localized urban heat effects or final official station measurements at the close of the observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$133,652Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a Beijing high temperature of 19°C today under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for this outcome. Historical May averages in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius provide climatological context, yet recent model consensus and real-time observations align tightly with this specific threshold rather than warmer or cooler alternatives. Traders’ strong positioning reflects confidence in these verified meteorological data, though minor shifts could arise from localized urban heat effects or final official station measurements at the close of the observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$133,652Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAACurrent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a Beijing high temperature of 19°C today under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for this outcome. Historical May averages in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius provide climatological context, yet recent model consensus and real-time observations align tightly with this specific threshold rather than warmer or cooler alternatives. Traders’ strong positioning reflects confidence in these verified meteorological data, though minor shifts could arise from localized urban heat effects or final official station measurements at the close of the observation period.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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