Latest global forecast models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, place Beijing’s May 19 high near 25–27 °C under weak high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow that favors modest daytime warming. Ensemble spread remains modest because rapid nocturnal cooling and limited moisture advection constrain extremes, while historical mid-May averages of 24–26 °C anchor trader expectations. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing; any late-day sea-breeze intrusion or cloud cover could shave a degree, whereas clearer skies and stronger downslope warming could add one. Updated runs tomorrow morning will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Pékin le 19 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 19 mai ?
26°C 29%
25°C 20%
24°C 18%
27°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 mai 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
18%
25°C
20%
26°C
29%
27°C
16%
28°C
7%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 29%
25°C 20%
24°C 18%
27°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 mai 2026
21°C or below
$323 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$532 Vol.
2%
23°C
$137 Vol.
4%
24°C
$167 Vol.
18%
25°C
$53 Vol.
20%
26°C
$10 Vol.
29%
27°C
$0 Vol.
16%
28°C
$0 Vol.
7%
29°C
$51 Vol.
5%
30°C
$33 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$6 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest global forecast models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, place Beijing’s May 19 high near 25–27 °C under weak high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow that favors modest daytime warming. Ensemble spread remains modest because rapid nocturnal cooling and limited moisture advection constrain extremes, while historical mid-May averages of 24–26 °C anchor trader expectations. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing; any late-day sea-breeze intrusion or cloud cover could shave a degree, whereas clearer skies and stronger downslope warming could add one. Updated runs tomorrow morning will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$1,312Date de fin
19 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest global forecast models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, place Beijing’s May 19 high near 25–27 °C under weak high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow that favors modest daytime warming. Ensemble spread remains modest because rapid nocturnal cooling and limited moisture advection constrain extremes, while historical mid-May averages of 24–26 °C anchor trader expectations. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing; any late-day sea-breeze intrusion or cloud cover could shave a degree, whereas clearer skies and stronger downslope warming could add one. Updated runs tomorrow morning will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,312Date de fin
19 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAALatest global forecast models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, place Beijing’s May 19 high near 25–27 °C under weak high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow that favors modest daytime warming. Ensemble spread remains modest because rapid nocturnal cooling and limited moisture advection constrain extremes, while historical mid-May averages of 24–26 °C anchor trader expectations. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing; any late-day sea-breeze intrusion or cloud cover could shave a degree, whereas clearer skies and stronger downslope warming could add one. Updated runs tomorrow morning will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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