Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the Western Cape, supporting a daytime maximum of 20°C in Cape Town on May 17 under mostly sunny autumn skies with light southeasterly winds. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average highs range 18–21°C and sea surface temperatures near 17°C limit rapid warming. Market-implied odds near 99% for 20°C reflect trader consensus on these verified observations and minimal model spread, though an unexpected shift in wind patterns or localized cloud cover could still push readings to 21°C if afternoon heating exceeds current projections.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée au Cap le 17 mai ?
Température la plus élevée au Cap le 17 mai ?
20°C 99.6%
24°C ou plus <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$17,924 Vol.
$17,924 Vol.
17 mai 2026
14°C ou moins
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C ou plus
1%
20°C 99.6%
24°C ou plus <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$17,924 Vol.
$17,924 Vol.
17 mai 2026
14°C ou moins
$534 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$787 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,520 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,021 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,433 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,509 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,507 Vol.
100%
21°C
$1,938 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,325 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,518 Vol.
<1%
24°C ou plus
$922 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the Western Cape, supporting a daytime maximum of 20°C in Cape Town on May 17 under mostly sunny autumn skies with light southeasterly winds. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average highs range 18–21°C and sea surface temperatures near 17°C limit rapid warming. Market-implied odds near 99% for 20°C reflect trader consensus on these verified observations and minimal model spread, though an unexpected shift in wind patterns or localized cloud cover could still push readings to 21°C if afternoon heating exceeds current projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$17,924Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the Western Cape, supporting a daytime maximum of 20°C in Cape Town on May 17 under mostly sunny autumn skies with light southeasterly winds. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average highs range 18–21°C and sea surface temperatures near 17°C limit rapid warming. Market-implied odds near 99% for 20°C reflect trader consensus on these verified observations and minimal model spread, though an unexpected shift in wind patterns or localized cloud cover could still push readings to 21°C if afternoon heating exceeds current projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,924Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTRecent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models indicate stable high-pressure conditions over the Western Cape, supporting a daytime maximum of 20°C in Cape Town on May 17 under mostly sunny autumn skies with light southeasterly winds. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average highs range 18–21°C and sea surface temperatures near 17°C limit rapid warming. Market-implied odds near 99% for 20°C reflect trader consensus on these verified observations and minimal model spread, though an unexpected shift in wind patterns or localized cloud cover could still push readings to 21°C if afternoon heating exceeds current projections.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes