Current high-pressure ridge building over the eastern Mediterranean is driving strong daytime heating across the Tel Aviv coastal plain, with Israel Meteorological Service and global ensemble models indicating peak temperatures likely reaching or exceeding 34–35 °C under mostly clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation. This setup exceeds typical May climatology of 26–28 °C maximums, shifting trader consensus toward the 35 °C or higher bin at 57 % implied probability while the 34 °C outcome holds 38.5 %. Afternoon observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will provide the official peak for resolution, with any late-day model adjustments or unexpected marine air intrusion remaining the key variables that could alter the final distribution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 17 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 17 mai ?
35°C or higher 50%
34°C 32%
33°C 6.3%
32°C 2.5%
$38,253 Vol.
$38,253 Vol.
17 mai 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
11%
34°C
41%
35°C or higher
47%
35°C or higher 50%
34°C 32%
33°C 6.3%
32°C 2.5%
$38,253 Vol.
$38,253 Vol.
17 mai 2026
25°C or below
$10,398 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,754 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,642 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,338 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,659 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,647 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,081 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,024 Vol.
3%
33°C
$2,797 Vol.
11%
34°C
$2,463 Vol.
41%
35°C or higher
$4,569 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current high-pressure ridge building over the eastern Mediterranean is driving strong daytime heating across the Tel Aviv coastal plain, with Israel Meteorological Service and global ensemble models indicating peak temperatures likely reaching or exceeding 34–35 °C under mostly clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation. This setup exceeds typical May climatology of 26–28 °C maximums, shifting trader consensus toward the 35 °C or higher bin at 57 % implied probability while the 34 °C outcome holds 38.5 %. Afternoon observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will provide the official peak for resolution, with any late-day model adjustments or unexpected marine air intrusion remaining the key variables that could alter the final distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$38,253Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current high-pressure ridge building over the eastern Mediterranean is driving strong daytime heating across the Tel Aviv coastal plain, with Israel Meteorological Service and global ensemble models indicating peak temperatures likely reaching or exceeding 34–35 °C under mostly clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation. This setup exceeds typical May climatology of 26–28 °C maximums, shifting trader consensus toward the 35 °C or higher bin at 57 % implied probability while the 34 °C outcome holds 38.5 %. Afternoon observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will provide the official peak for resolution, with any late-day model adjustments or unexpected marine air intrusion remaining the key variables that could alter the final distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$38,253Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent high-pressure ridge building over the eastern Mediterranean is driving strong daytime heating across the Tel Aviv coastal plain, with Israel Meteorological Service and global ensemble models indicating peak temperatures likely reaching or exceeding 34–35 °C under mostly clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation. This setup exceeds typical May climatology of 26–28 °C maximums, shifting trader consensus toward the 35 °C or higher bin at 57 % implied probability while the 34 °C outcome holds 38.5 %. Afternoon observations from Ben Gurion International Airport will provide the official peak for resolution, with any late-day model adjustments or unexpected marine air intrusion remaining the key variables that could alter the final distribution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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