Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the center-left merger of Labor and Meretz led by Yair Golan, at roughly 8–10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, keeping the <8 and 8–9 brackets nearly tied in trader pricing. The party’s consolidation of the Zionist left has stabilized its base after years of fragmentation, yet broader rightward sentiment and competition from Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu limit upside. Surplus-vote agreements with Yashar and internal list finalization have provided modest structural support, while undecided voters and turnout among secular and Arab-adjacent blocs remain key variables. Late-campaign security developments or shifts in opposition coordination could widen the range before ballots close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour8-9 26%
<8 25%
10-11 22%
12-13 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
<8
27%
8-9
26%
10-11
17%
12-13
8%
14+
5%
8-9 26%
<8 25%
10-11 22%
12-13 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
<8
$1,124 Vol.
27%
8-9
$253 Vol.
26%
10-11
$242 Vol.
17%
12-13
$187 Vol.
8%
14+
$155 Vol.
5%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the center-left merger of Labor and Meretz led by Yair Golan, at roughly 8–10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, keeping the <8 and 8–9 brackets nearly tied in trader pricing. The party’s consolidation of the Zionist left has stabilized its base after years of fragmentation, yet broader rightward sentiment and competition from Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu limit upside. Surplus-vote agreements with Yashar and internal list finalization have provided modest structural support, while undecided voters and turnout among secular and Arab-adjacent blocs remain key variables. Late-campaign security developments or shifts in opposition coordination could widen the range before ballots close.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Volume
$1,961Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the center-left merger of Labor and Meretz led by Yair Golan, at roughly 8–10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, keeping the <8 and 8–9 brackets nearly tied in trader pricing. The party’s consolidation of the Zionist left has stabilized its base after years of fragmentation, yet broader rightward sentiment and competition from Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu limit upside. Surplus-vote agreements with Yashar and internal list finalization have provided modest structural support, while undecided voters and turnout among secular and Arab-adjacent blocs remain key variables. Late-campaign security developments or shifts in opposition coordination could widen the range before ballots close.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$1,961Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the center-left merger of Labor and Meretz led by Yair Golan, at roughly 8–10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, keeping the <8 and 8–9 brackets nearly tied in trader pricing. The party’s consolidation of the Zionist left has stabilized its base after years of fragmentation, yet broader rightward sentiment and competition from Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu limit upside. Surplus-vote agreements with Yashar and internal list finalization have provided modest structural support, while undecided voters and turnout among secular and Arab-adjacent blocs remain key variables. Late-campaign security developments or shifts in opposition coordination could widen the range before ballots close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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