**The dominant 98.3% market-implied probability for a 72-73°F low in New York City on June 13, 2026, stems directly from official observations recorded overnight into the morning of that date.** National Weather Service data from primary stations, including LaGuardia Airport, show a minimum of 72°F near 5:33 a.m. under mostly clear skies and light winds, consistent with regional forecasts projecting lows in the low 70s amid above-average warmth for early June. This aligns with broader model consensus and climatological norms for mid-June, where overnight radiative cooling under high pressure typically produces such readings rather than sharp drops. Traders have converged on this narrow band because real-time station data and post-event verification leave little room for deviation. Only an unlikely late revision to official records or use of an atypical station could shift resolution outside 72-73°F.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à New York le 13 juin ?
72-73 °F 98.3%
70-71°F 2.9%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$29,026 Vol.
$29,026 Vol.
63°F ou moins
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73 °F
98%
74-75 °F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F ou plus
<1%
72-73 °F 98.3%
70-71°F 2.9%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$29,026 Vol.
$29,026 Vol.
63°F ou moins
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73 °F
98%
74-75 °F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The dominant 98.3% market-implied probability for a 72-73°F low in New York City on June 13, 2026, stems directly from official observations recorded overnight into the morning of that date.** National Weather Service data from primary stations, including LaGuardia Airport, show a minimum of 72°F near 5:33 a.m. under mostly clear skies and light winds, consistent with regional forecasts projecting lows in the low 70s amid above-average warmth for early June. This aligns with broader model consensus and climatological norms for mid-June, where overnight radiative cooling under high pressure typically produces such readings rather than sharp drops. Traders have converged on this narrow band because real-time station data and post-event verification leave little room for deviation. Only an unlikely late revision to official records or use of an atypical station could shift resolution outside 72-73°F.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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