Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for June 15 point to overnight lows near 18–19°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes amid the early tsuyu rainy season’s cloud cover and light rain, which limit radiative cooling while suppressing daytime heat buildup. Ensemble models from JMA and global centers show high consistency around these values, close to the 18.7°C daily normal minimum, with El Niño-enhanced Pacific high pressure maintaining mild, stable conditions rather than sharp swings. Recent model runs have narrowed uncertainty, boosting implied probabilities for 17–19°C while keeping extremes below 10% due to the low historical volatility in mid-June Tokyo temperatures. Updated guidance expected tomorrow morning could refine resolution odds ahead of the 24-hour observation window at Haneda.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 15 juin ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 15 juin ?
18°C 54%
19°C 32%
17°C 21%
16°C 5.4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 juin 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
19%
18°C
49%
19°C
32%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 54%
19°C 32%
17°C 21%
16°C 5.4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 juin 2026
13°C or below
$535 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,012 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$517 Vol.
1%
16°C
$126 Vol.
5%
17°C
$71 Vol.
19%
18°C
$137 Vol.
49%
19°C
$202 Vol.
32%
20°C
$232 Vol.
1%
21°C
$886 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$592 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$387 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for June 15 point to overnight lows near 18–19°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes amid the early tsuyu rainy season’s cloud cover and light rain, which limit radiative cooling while suppressing daytime heat buildup. Ensemble models from JMA and global centers show high consistency around these values, close to the 18.7°C daily normal minimum, with El Niño-enhanced Pacific high pressure maintaining mild, stable conditions rather than sharp swings. Recent model runs have narrowed uncertainty, boosting implied probabilities for 17–19°C while keeping extremes below 10% due to the low historical volatility in mid-June Tokyo temperatures. Updated guidance expected tomorrow morning could refine resolution odds ahead of the 24-hour observation window at Haneda.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volume
$4,571Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for June 15 point to overnight lows near 18–19°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes amid the early tsuyu rainy season’s cloud cover and light rain, which limit radiative cooling while suppressing daytime heat buildup. Ensemble models from JMA and global centers show high consistency around these values, close to the 18.7°C daily normal minimum, with El Niño-enhanced Pacific high pressure maintaining mild, stable conditions rather than sharp swings. Recent model runs have narrowed uncertainty, boosting implied probabilities for 17–19°C while keeping extremes below 10% due to the low historical volatility in mid-June Tokyo temperatures. Updated guidance expected tomorrow morning could refine resolution odds ahead of the 24-hour observation window at Haneda.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,571Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for June 15 point to overnight lows near 18–19°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes amid the early tsuyu rainy season’s cloud cover and light rain, which limit radiative cooling while suppressing daytime heat buildup. Ensemble models from JMA and global centers show high consistency around these values, close to the 18.7°C daily normal minimum, with El Niño-enhanced Pacific high pressure maintaining mild, stable conditions rather than sharp swings. Recent model runs have narrowed uncertainty, boosting implied probabilities for 17–19°C while keeping extremes below 10% due to the low historical volatility in mid-June Tokyo temperatures. Updated guidance expected tomorrow morning could refine resolution odds ahead of the 24-hour observation window at Haneda.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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