Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs point to a minimum temperature near 12–13 °C in London on 15 June, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. After an unusually warm late-May period, a return to more typical early-summer conditions—with increased cloud cover, light south-easterly winds, and moderate humidity—has limited overnight radiative cooling and kept lows close to seasonal averages of 11–12 °C. Small differences in forecast cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight 12 °C versus 13 °C contest, while lower-probability tails reflect residual model spread and the possibility of localized urban-heat-island effects pushing the reading slightly higher or lower. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will likely resolve the narrow gap.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 15 juin ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 15 juin ?
12°C 40%
13°C 29%
11°C 6%
14°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 juin 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
6%
12°C
40%
13°C
38%
14°C
6%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 40%
13°C 29%
11°C 6%
14°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 juin 2026
8°C or below
$111 Vol.
1%
9°C
$132 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$55 Vol.
1%
11°C
$122 Vol.
6%
12°C
$119 Vol.
40%
13°C
$221 Vol.
38%
14°C
$196 Vol.
6%
15°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$148 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$147 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$154 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs point to a minimum temperature near 12–13 °C in London on 15 June, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. After an unusually warm late-May period, a return to more typical early-summer conditions—with increased cloud cover, light south-easterly winds, and moderate humidity—has limited overnight radiative cooling and kept lows close to seasonal averages of 11–12 °C. Small differences in forecast cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight 12 °C versus 13 °C contest, while lower-probability tails reflect residual model spread and the possibility of localized urban-heat-island effects pushing the reading slightly higher or lower. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will likely resolve the narrow gap.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Volume
$1,644Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs point to a minimum temperature near 12–13 °C in London on 15 June, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. After an unusually warm late-May period, a return to more typical early-summer conditions—with increased cloud cover, light south-easterly winds, and moderate humidity—has limited overnight radiative cooling and kept lows close to seasonal averages of 11–12 °C. Small differences in forecast cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight 12 °C versus 13 °C contest, while lower-probability tails reflect residual model spread and the possibility of localized urban-heat-island effects pushing the reading slightly higher or lower. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will likely resolve the narrow gap.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,644Date de fin
15 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs point to a minimum temperature near 12–13 °C in London on 15 June, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. After an unusually warm late-May period, a return to more typical early-summer conditions—with increased cloud cover, light south-easterly winds, and moderate humidity—has limited overnight radiative cooling and kept lows close to seasonal averages of 11–12 °C. Small differences in forecast cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight 12 °C versus 13 °C contest, while lower-probability tails reflect residual model spread and the possibility of localized urban-heat-island effects pushing the reading slightly higher or lower. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will likely resolve the narrow gap.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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